{ "ticker": { "uuid": "0dbeeb49-7e64-4004-ab00-8fdcf7857ebd", "symbol": "PETS", "name": "Pets at Home Group Plc", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Structural repair", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 45.197, "architecture_energy": 60.588, "architecture_maturity": 9.54, "architecture_confidence": 64.559, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 26.43, "rotation_up": 72.52, "upward_expansion": 61.65, "deceleration": 21.53, "rotation_down": 16.49, "downward_expansion": 19.99 }, "activity_lines": [ 205.22, 196.798182, 191.233901, 191.133817 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 211.8, "trend_reference": 193.557828, "distance_from_trend": 0.094247, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 252.062289, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.159732, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -3.206589, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.017483, "excess_performance": -0.068718, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.094247, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.022658, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.159732, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.155709, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.032066, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.17623, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.017483, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 4.463778, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3075578, "relative_activity": 0.689085, "balance": 4.463778, "dry_up": 0.919049, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.069556, "annualized_volatility": 0.312948, "from_high_reference": -0.123024, "from_low_reference": 0.240773 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 193.557828, "fair_value_reference": 252.062289, "structural_low": 170.7, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.013795, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.020473, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.153519, "worst_return": -0.153551, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.026748, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.002692, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.158374, "worst_return": -0.116411, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.022348, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.020014, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.177437, "worst_return": -0.200227, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -42.455637, "energy": 25.092075, "activity_lines": [ 183.5, 183.527814, 184.256996, 188.137371 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 198.0, "volume": 4137275, "typical_volume": 4622518.3, "trend": 192.598303, "fair_value": 255.291592, "relative_strength": -8.563209, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": 0.260626, "energy": 6.767277, "activity_lines": [ 188.66, 186.187943, 185.387859, 188.476899 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 197.0, "volume": 3689309, "typical_volume": 4582077.6, "trend": 192.552597, "fair_value": 254.057589, "relative_strength": -9.460225, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 18.053483, "energy": 21.439666, "activity_lines": [ 192.866667, 188.396679, 186.472864, 188.760879 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 210.6, "volume": 5505716, "typical_volume": 4646508.5, "trend": 193.066875, "fair_value": 253.042649, "relative_strength": -3.940279, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 36.545125, "energy": 44.158208, "activity_lines": [ 199.866667, 192.721311, 188.838687, 189.925228 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 211.8, "volume": 3075578, "typical_volume": 4463278.45, "trend": 193.557828, "fair_value": 252.062289, "relative_strength": -3.206589, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 45.196542, "energy": 60.58841, "activity_lines": [ 205.22, 196.798182, 191.233901, 191.133817 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }