{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "0dc3f4ec-5207-46f8-ab56-b8287a858a58",
    "symbol": "B",
    "name": "Bastogi S.p.A.",
    "exchange": "MIL",
    "country": "IT",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "FTSEMIB.MI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 90.132,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-acceleration watch",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 43.081,
    "architecture_energy": 25.918,
    "architecture_maturity": 30.924,
    "architecture_confidence": 69.305,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The prior uptrend is attempting to re-accelerate.",
        "body": "Positive Trend survived a recompression and Fast Activity is strengthening again. Promotion requires renewed confirmation across the completed evidence set."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 32.8,
        "rotation_up": 60.11,
        "upward_expansion": 71.09,
        "deceleration": 49.84,
        "rotation_down": 13.01,
        "downward_expansion": 9.75
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        1.103425,
        1.106444,
        1.103856
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 1.14,
    "trend_reference": 1.074773,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.060689,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 0.651511,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.749779,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 3.049796,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.189979,
    "excess_performance": 0.019087,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.060689,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.085143,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.749779,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.197706,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.030498,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.215503,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.189979,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.267058,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 77112,
      "relative_activity": 0.274969,
      "balance": 1.267058,
      "dry_up": 0.430218,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.071579,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.514899,
      "from_high_reference": -0.146067,
      "from_low_reference": 1.0
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 1.074773,
      "fair_value_reference": 0.651511,
      "structural_low": 0.934,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 9,
        "median_return": 0.034055,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.040236,
        "regime_survival": 0.444444,
        "best_return": 0.275195,
        "worst_return": -0.11263,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.158486,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": -0.02565,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.241739,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.088374,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
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        "worst_return": 0.204139,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
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        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
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        "worst_return": 0.87877,
        "sufficient": false
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "relative_strength": -3.383541,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "typical_volume": 334213.25,
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        "fair_value": 0.634036,
        "relative_strength": 6.011759,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 314757.65,
        "trend": 1.03414,
        "fair_value": 0.637807,
        "relative_strength": 7.237734,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 28.416165,
        "energy": 14.66936,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.080633,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 1.12,
        "volume": 37944,
        "typical_volume": 299638.95,
        "trend": 1.04434,
        "fair_value": 0.641432,
        "relative_strength": 6.552843,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 32.440228,
        "energy": 19.616361,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.0998,
          1.081274,
          1.105208,
          1.091342
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 1.065,
        "volume": 101558,
        "typical_volume": 280530.45,
        "trend": 1.052707,
        "fair_value": 0.644434,
        "relative_strength": 1.031086,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 25.592631,
        "energy": 21.611528,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.095733,
          1.078077,
          1.100827,
          1.092674
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 1.15,
        "volume": 265985,
        "typical_volume": 283055.4,
        "trend": 1.063973,
        "fair_value": 0.647992,
        "relative_strength": 7.680826,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Re-acceleration watch",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 44.508315,
        "energy": 28.385619,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.117333,
          1.091614,
          1.104421,
          1.098951
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 1.14,
        "volume": 77112,
        "typical_volume": 280438.75,
        "trend": 1.074773,
        "fair_value": 0.651511,
        "relative_strength": 3.049796,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Re-acceleration watch",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 43.081074,
        "energy": 25.918348,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.124667,
          1.103425,
          1.106444,
          1.103856
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}