{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "0dca586e-7017-4269-939e-d0e3a1b4ef16",
    "symbol": "XDWF",
    "name": "Xtrackers MSCI World Financials UCITS ETF 1C",
    "exchange": "LSE",
    "country": "GB",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 86.85,
    "architecture_energy": 94.608,
    "architecture_maturity": 27.089,
    "architecture_confidence": 76.876,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 0.0,
        "rotation_up": 86.88,
        "upward_expansion": 99.91,
        "deceleration": 39.02,
        "rotation_down": 9.47,
        "downward_expansion": 21.91
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 49.169998,
    "trend_reference": 44.1535,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.113615,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 35.282931,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.393592,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 5.075399,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.108931,
    "excess_performance": 0.057696,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.113615,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.032335,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.393592,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.093598,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.050754,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.063038,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.108931,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 4.152804,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
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      "relative_activity": 0.808945,
      "balance": 4.152804,
      "dry_up": 0.995855,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.019868,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.158274,
      "from_high_reference": -0.010066,
      "from_low_reference": 0.247336
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    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 35.282931,
      "structural_low": 39.419998,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 38,
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        "positive_rate": 0.684211,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.684211,
        "median_excess_return": -0.000457,
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        "best_return": 0.069027,
        "worst_return": -0.116331,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
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        "worst_return": -0.150798,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "fair_value": 33.165976,
        "relative_strength": -3.596448,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
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        "energy": 20.986081,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "typical_volume": 320141.65,
        "trend": 42.383993,
        "fair_value": 33.301233,
        "relative_strength": -1.469415,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 40.06212,
        "energy": 36.420108,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "typical_volume": 308929.7,
        "trend": 42.470327,
        "fair_value": 33.43479,
        "relative_strength": -1.228403,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 44.946403,
        "energy": 36.477182,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 43.130001,
        "volume": 76624,
        "typical_volume": 305958.75,
        "trend": 42.564327,
        "fair_value": 33.563749,
        "relative_strength": -1.5542,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 42.632917,
        "energy": 35.927942,
        "activity_lines": [
          43.464,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 44.07,
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        "typical_volume": 308008.45,
        "trend": 42.663833,
        "fair_value": 33.701072,
        "relative_strength": -1.962832,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 50.273307,
        "energy": 33.248385,
        "activity_lines": [
          43.611667,
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          42.839269
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 44.035,
        "volume": 83065,
        "typical_volume": 299825.7,
        "trend": 42.7705,
        "fair_value": 33.834919,
        "relative_strength": -1.448462,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 47.705454,
        "energy": 30.100767,
        "activity_lines": [
          43.780334,
          43.530455,
          42.8995,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 43.889999,
        "volume": 8775,
        "typical_volume": 285406.85,
        "trend": 42.873167,
        "fair_value": 33.966922,
        "relative_strength": -1.316236,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 45.879103,
        "energy": 31.465576,
        "activity_lines": [
          43.835,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 45.025002,
        "volume": 52094,
        "typical_volume": 275598.8,
        "trend": 42.991333,
        "fair_value": 34.103204,
        "relative_strength": 0.238505,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 70.268533,
        "energy": 57.705087,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 45.369999,
        "volume": 16858,
        "typical_volume": 256176.1,
        "trend": 43.162,
        "fair_value": 34.245864,
        "relative_strength": 2.045883,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 72.579042,
        "energy": 67.207735,
        "activity_lines": [
          44.717333,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 45.529999,
        "volume": 5927,
        "typical_volume": 234380.35,
        "trend": 43.280333,
        "fair_value": 34.385127,
        "relative_strength": 1.063299,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 73.734076,
        "energy": 74.290365,
        "activity_lines": [
          45.068,
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          43.673833,
          43.445021
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 46.950001,
        "volume": 30018,
        "typical_volume": 224774.75,
        "trend": 43.44,
        "fair_value": 34.534614,
        "relative_strength": 2.598954,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 87.286939,
        "energy": 87.735134,
        "activity_lines": [
          45.794667,
          45.044546,
          44.042429,
          43.681774
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 47.209999,
        "volume": 57091,
        "typical_volume": 221418.25,
        "trend": 43.579333,
        "fair_value": 34.6808,
        "relative_strength": 4.924362,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 84.244048,
        "energy": 92.043415,
        "activity_lines": [
          46.413666,
          45.530091,
          44.4175,
          43.925
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 47.73,
        "volume": 37174,
        "typical_volume": 211417.35,
        "trend": 43.716333,
        "fair_value": 34.826874,
        "relative_strength": 5.015919,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 85.3024,
        "energy": 93.727799,
        "activity_lines": [
          46.984666,
          46.050545,
          44.824714,
          44.192785
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 47.91,
        "volume": 155086,
        "typical_volume": 194020.8,
        "trend": 43.841833,
        "fair_value": 34.973188,
        "relative_strength": 4.068435,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 81.303777,
        "energy": 92.885107,
        "activity_lines": [
          47.435333,
          46.526182,
          45.228405,
          44.463344
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 48.459999,
        "volume": 153738,
        "typical_volume": 111530.25,
        "trend": 43.9965,
        "fair_value": 35.124887,
        "relative_strength": 3.917457,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 83.042679,
        "energy": 93.378064,
        "activity_lines": [
          47.9,
          47.014909,
          45.652286,
          44.76129
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 49.169998,
        "volume": 88170,
        "typical_volume": 108993.75,
        "trend": 44.1535,
        "fair_value": 35.282931,
        "relative_strength": 5.075399,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 86.850283,
        "energy": 94.608208,
        "activity_lines": [
          48.405999,
          47.552908,
          46.104928,
          45.095064
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}