{ "ticker": { "uuid": "0de07829-1fc1-4539-8453-f7b288025d99", "symbol": "UWM", "name": "PROSHARES TRUST PSHS ULTRUSS2000", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 57.279, "architecture_energy": 37.292, "architecture_maturity": 51.075, "architecture_confidence": 91.749, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 28.34, "rotation_up": 39.16, "upward_expansion": 63.83, "deceleration": 87.27, "rotation_down": 26.17, "downward_expansion": 16.16 }, "activity_lines": [ 64.686, 64.722796, 62.959662, 60.202641 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 67.25, "trend_reference": 57.201628, "distance_from_trend": 0.175666, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 42.112208, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.596924, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 14.565593, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.248378, "excess_performance": 0.122753, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.175666, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.107288, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.596924, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.063552, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.145656, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.03488, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.248378, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.021059, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 927695, "relative_activity": 0.60528, "balance": 1.021059, "dry_up": 0.846233, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.064782, "annualized_volatility": 0.327137, "from_high_reference": -0.015662, "from_low_reference": 0.753772 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 57.201628, "fair_value_reference": 42.112208, "structural_low": 43.3292, "invalidation": "A 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"typical_volume": 2166076.85, "trend": 55.226401, "fair_value": 41.377571, "relative_strength": 16.476659, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.970089, "energy": 64.12215, "activity_lines": [ 65.48794, 64.018053, 60.515417, 58.042877 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 64.31, "volume": 1462623, "typical_volume": 2052797.95, "trend": 55.74356, "fair_value": 41.559791, "relative_strength": 16.085808, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.863142, "energy": 52.186644, "activity_lines": [ 65.170621, 64.293349, 61.222103, 58.628915 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 62.93, "volume": 1538565, "typical_volume": 1888709.9, "trend": 56.207323, "fair_value": 41.728492, "relative_strength": 13.632903, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.338742, "energy": 42.955413, "activity_lines": [ 64.364667, 64.252343, 61.739847, 59.092556 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 62.87, "volume": 1259100, "typical_volume": 1697061.7, "trend": 56.706364, "fair_value": 41.902479, "relative_strength": 11.595567, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 43.194918, "energy": 31.516643, "activity_lines": [ 63.686, 64.107449, 62.180775, 59.522407 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 67.25, "volume": 927695, "typical_volume": 1532670.65, "trend": 57.201628, "fair_value": 42.112208, "relative_strength": 14.565593, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.279235, "energy": 37.291556, "activity_lines": [ 64.686, 64.722796, 62.959662, 60.202641 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }