{ "ticker": { "uuid": "0debb42d-2db9-445d-828e-e7b274597a68", "symbol": "ISJH", "name": "Amundi Label ISR Actions Japon UCITS ETF EUR H Acc", "exchange": "PAR", "country": "FR", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FCHI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 61.08, "architecture_energy": 42.137, "architecture_maturity": 74.951, "architecture_confidence": 85.361, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 28.81, "rotation_up": 41.83, "upward_expansion": 68.06, "deceleration": 85.5, "rotation_down": 27.35, "downward_expansion": 18.06 }, "activity_lines": [ 15.9346, 15.957473, 15.641552, 15.29731 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 16.246, "trend_reference": 14.874133, "distance_from_trend": 0.092232, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 12.508419, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.298805, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 9.639248, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.197111, "excess_performance": 0.1438, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.092232, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.068956, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.298805, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.057816, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.096392, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.060046, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.197111, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.330034, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 4041, "relative_activity": 1.341812, "balance": 2.330034, "dry_up": 1.01026, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.029309, "annualized_volatility": 0.262718, "from_high_reference": -0.0136, "from_low_reference": 0.414664 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 14.874133, "fair_value_reference": 12.508419, "structural_low": 13.252, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.006872, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.00537, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": -0.006872, "worst_return": -0.006872, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-06-26", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.014931, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2024-12-20", "close": 10.2058, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-12-27", "close": 10.602, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2025-01-03", "close": 10.518, "volume": 0, 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"typical_volume": 4273.15, "trend": 14.5271, "fair_value": 12.345354, "relative_strength": 17.256648, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 76.8496, "energy": 90.043424, "activity_lines": [ 16.160934, 15.847346, 15.318281, 14.988527 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 15.627, "volume": 6313, "typical_volume": 4580.95, "trend": 14.606833, "fair_value": 12.384892, "relative_strength": 11.753615, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.475573, "energy": 64.721469, "activity_lines": [ 16.034267, 15.855364, 15.386733, 15.059488 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 15.897, "volume": 1057, "typical_volume": 4572.5, "trend": 14.700167, "fair_value": 12.426702, "relative_strength": 12.631022, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.092577, "energy": 59.353482, "activity_lines": [ 15.964134, 15.897655, 15.478367, 15.142725 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 15.635, "volume": 759, "typical_volume": 4583.0, "trend": 14.784767, "fair_value": 12.464447, "relative_strength": 8.524064, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 49.073718, "energy": 42.378206, "activity_lines": [ 15.835133, 15.8768, 15.535148, 15.203037 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 16.246, "volume": 4041, "typical_volume": 3011.6, "trend": 14.874133, "fair_value": 12.508419, "relative_strength": 9.639248, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.079675, "energy": 42.136566, "activity_lines": [ 15.9346, 15.957473, 15.641552, 15.29731 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }