{ "ticker": { "uuid": "0ded1252-6f9d-4843-a236-a76e81416bf5", "symbol": "LND", "name": "Brasilagro Adr", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 77.561, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -45.984, "architecture_energy": 23.738, "architecture_maturity": 45.722, "architecture_confidence": 75.189, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 36.77, "rotation_up": 25.37, "upward_expansion": 18.64, "deceleration": 45.51, "rotation_down": 32.26, "downward_expansion": 57.31 }, "activity_lines": [ 3.682, 3.665818, 3.716857, 3.79329 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 3.6, "trend_reference": 3.87, "distance_from_trend": -0.069767, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 3.998618, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.099689, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -15.342699, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.067358, "excess_performance": -0.192982, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.069767, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.001294, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.099689, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.044828, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.153427, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.048847, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.067358, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.956926, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 114959, "relative_activity": 0.359866, "balance": 0.956926, "dry_up": 0.466843, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.053077, "annualized_volatility": 0.20137, "from_high_reference": -0.191011, "from_low_reference": 0.040462 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3.87, "fair_value_reference": 3.998618, "structural_low": 3.46, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 19, "median_return": 0.020278, "positive_rate": 0.578947, "directional_follow_through": 0.421053, "median_excess_return": 0.009527, "regime_survival": 0.736842, "best_return": 0.232877, "worst_return": -0.082635, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.073277, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.05167, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.575343, "worst_return": -0.168851, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.206897, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.111338, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.599388, "worst_return": -0.090787, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-02-09", "end": "2024-02-23", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.026955, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2024-03-01", "end": "2024-03-29", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.038662, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-04-05", "end": "2024-04-19", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.027692, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-04-26", "end": "2024-06-21", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.056566, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-06-28", "end": "2025-03-21", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.107967, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-03-28", "end": "2026-01-23", "tenure": "Extended", "return": 0.083618, 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"date": "2026-07-17", "close": 3.73, "volume": 191959, "typical_volume": 386965.4, "trend": 3.862333, "fair_value": 4.009615, "relative_strength": -9.611716, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -54.634133, "energy": 36.522825, "activity_lines": [ 3.656, 3.665091, 3.763095, 3.82886 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 3.7, "volume": 180588, "typical_volume": 381602.2, "trend": 3.866667, "fair_value": 4.005131, "relative_strength": -9.573106, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -41.518605, "energy": 25.354642, "activity_lines": [ 3.68, 3.667636, 3.747333, 3.818387 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3.75, "volume": 109025, "typical_volume": 359044.4, "trend": 3.872333, "fair_value": 4.001739, "relative_strength": -9.085173, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -36.432855, "energy": 19.668973, "activity_lines": [ 3.712, 3.679818, 3.738048, 3.81086 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3.6, "volume": 114959, "typical_volume": 319449.75, "trend": 3.87, "fair_value": 3.998618, "relative_strength": -15.342699, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -45.984386, "energy": 23.737681, "activity_lines": [ 3.682, 3.665818, 3.716857, 3.79329 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }