{ "ticker": { "uuid": "0df617b8-5045-4c67-bc60-8369fb0c3b0d", "symbol": "XXSC", "name": "Xtrackers MSCI Europe Small Cap UCITS ETF 1C", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 78.704, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Re-acceleration watch", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 78.318, "architecture_energy": 63.26, "architecture_maturity": 16.079, "architecture_confidence": 79.807, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The prior uptrend is attempting to re-accelerate.", "body": "Positive Trend survived a recompression and Fast Activity is strengthening again. Promotion requires renewed confirmation across the completed evidence set." }, "scores": { "balance": 23.41, "rotation_up": 63.87, "upward_expansion": 85.16, "deceleration": 47.54, "rotation_down": 16.76, "downward_expansion": 11.83 }, "activity_lines": [ 6344.166667, 6302.663636, 6275.935714, 6217.595699 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 6480.0, "trend_reference": 6165.65, "distance_from_trend": 0.050984, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 5283.581089, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.226441, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -0.976811, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.052974, "excess_performance": 0.001738, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.050984, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.025847, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.226441, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.013617, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.009768, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.01113, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.052974, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.372792, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 19701, "relative_activity": 0.267968, "balance": 1.372792, "dry_up": 0.248959, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.020019, "annualized_volatility": 0.163713, "from_high_reference": -0.172139, "from_low_reference": 0.188773 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 6165.65, "fair_value_reference": 5283.581089, "structural_low": 5451.0, "invalidation": "A 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"trend": 6139.516667, "fair_value": 5259.53782, "relative_strength": -2.909215, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 40.136139, "energy": 22.334074, "activity_lines": [ 6242.1, 6255.609091, 6228.802381, 6184.174194 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 6330.0, "volume": 7856, "typical_volume": 80955.55, "trend": 6152.45, "fair_value": 5270.91923, "relative_strength": -3.080673, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 58.369205, "energy": 29.394204, "activity_lines": [ 6272.766667, 6265.409091, 6246.464286, 6196.463441 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 6480.0, "volume": 19701, "typical_volume": 73520.0, "trend": 6165.65, "fair_value": 5283.581089, "relative_strength": -0.976811, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Re-acceleration watch", "gate": "up", "direction": 78.317879, "energy": 63.260396, "activity_lines": [ 6344.166667, 6302.663636, 6275.935714, 6217.595699 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }