{ "ticker": { "uuid": "0dfa692e-c760-4e2c-9844-ec0e359bac60", "symbol": "600887", "name": "Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 61.43, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Structural repair", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 17.62, "architecture_energy": 29.634, "architecture_maturity": 13.726, "architecture_confidence": 75.796, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 44.36, "rotation_up": 61.81, "upward_expansion": 40.66, "deceleration": 41.1, "rotation_down": 16.99, "downward_expansion": 17.99 }, "activity_lines": [ 26.511333, 25.896727, 25.724965, 25.779944 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 26.209999, "trend_reference": 25.982604, "distance_from_trend": 0.008752, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 25.910666, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.011552, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -1.33981, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.004935, "excess_performance": 0.038268, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.008752, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.033333, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.011552, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.014078, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.013398, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.097645, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.004935, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.717625, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 275313101, "relative_activity": 1.20764, "balance": 2.717625, "dry_up": 1.590574, "accumulation_observations": 6, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.044772, "annualized_volatility": 0.214086, "from_high_reference": -0.111525, "from_low_reference": 0.08261 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 25.982604, "fair_value_reference": 25.910666, "structural_low": 24.209999, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.035038, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.031504, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.074719, "worst_return": -0.033333, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.00563, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.008859, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.092391, "worst_return": -0.060846, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.01868, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.06297, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.022464, "worst_return": -0.096007, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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"modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -40.089342, "energy": 26.701173, "activity_lines": [ 25.111333, 25.160404, 25.392034, 25.653588 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 27.040001, "volume": 404079931, "typical_volume": 213861760.25, "trend": 26.128938, "fair_value": 25.890537, "relative_strength": 4.69721, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -4.291252, "energy": 10.575365, "activity_lines": [ 25.85, 25.467778, 25.530709, 25.707764 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 27.1, "volume": 453766057, "typical_volume": 224589123.3, "trend": 26.062271, "fair_value": 25.901571, "relative_strength": 4.5966, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 28.968274, "energy": 32.115782, "activity_lines": [ 26.423334, 25.779415, 25.671147, 25.770413 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 26.209999, "volume": 275313101, "typical_volume": 227976114.2, "trend": 25.982604, "fair_value": 25.910666, "relative_strength": -1.33981, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 17.619774, "energy": 29.634361, "activity_lines": [ 26.511333, 25.896727, 25.724965, 25.779944 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }