{ "ticker": { "uuid": "0e043d2c-b9bf-4c86-8220-e94ae79d99f9", "symbol": "300158", "name": "Shanxi Zhendong Pharmaceutical Co.,Ltd", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -42.644, "architecture_energy": 32.421, "architecture_maturity": 70.163, "architecture_confidence": 83.902, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 32.4, "rotation_up": 26.19, "upward_expansion": 16.31, "deceleration": 46.47, "rotation_down": 32.97, "downward_expansion": 61.64 }, "activity_lines": [ 4.944, 4.905091, 5.106762, 5.328581 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 5.14, "trend_reference": 5.605333, "distance_from_trend": -0.083016, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 5.322372, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.034265, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -20.801222, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.101399, "excess_performance": -0.108798, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.083016, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.084893, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.034265, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.125096, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.208012, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.017191, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.101399, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.347927, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 79644482, "relative_activity": 0.934648, "balance": 0.347927, "dry_up": 1.108654, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.077372, "annualized_volatility": 0.349292, "from_high_reference": -0.499513, "from_low_reference": 0.124726 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 5.605333, "fair_value_reference": 5.322372, "structural_low": 4.57, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 26, "median_return": 0.004744, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.022913, "regime_survival": 0.769231, "best_return": 0.380309, "worst_return": -0.22093, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.051724, "positive_rate": 0.444444, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": 0.030623, "regime_survival": 0.444444, "best_return": 0.234545, "worst_return": -0.12426, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.070852, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.038484, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.614251, "worst_return": -0.204839, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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"close": 4.93, "volume": 72806493, "typical_volume": 86892576.85, "trend": 5.627667, "fair_value": 5.32641, "relative_strength": -21.21885, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -56.489651, "energy": 43.294022, "activity_lines": [ 4.856, 4.862364, 5.131905, 5.360043 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 5.14, "volume": 79644482, "typical_volume": 85213301.75, "trend": 5.605333, "fair_value": 5.322372, "relative_strength": -20.801222, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -42.644039, "energy": 32.420854, "activity_lines": [ 4.944, 4.905091, 5.106762, 5.328581 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }