{ "ticker": { "uuid": "0e20a677-aa1b-4fff-af0d-687ed3611717", "symbol": "300187", "name": "Yonker Environmental Protection Co.,Ltd", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -62.747, "architecture_energy": 72.096, "architecture_maturity": 12.925, "architecture_confidence": 84.091, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 18.62, "rotation_up": 9.4, "upward_expansion": 16.43, "deceleration": 37.26, "rotation_down": 72.01, "downward_expansion": 89.76 }, "activity_lines": [ 4.594, 4.773623, 5.060419, 5.169074 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 4.68, "trend_reference": 5.267704, "distance_from_trend": -0.111567, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 5.060968, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.075276, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -13.163141, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.128492, "excess_performance": -0.135891, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.111567, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.015648, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.075276, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.221396, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.131631, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.044785, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.128492, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.862389, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 55285255, "relative_activity": 0.785905, "balance": 0.862389, "dry_up": 0.821747, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.095744, "annualized_volatility": 0.390552, "from_high_reference": -0.285496, "from_low_reference": 0.101176 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 5.267704, "fair_value_reference": 5.060968, "structural_low": 4.25, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 23, "median_return": 0.006849, "positive_rate": 0.521739, "directional_follow_through": 0.478261, "median_excess_return": 0.021778, "regime_survival": 0.73913, "best_return": 0.275977, "worst_return": -0.116279, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.001681, "positive_rate": 0.444444, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": 0.031545, "regime_survival": 0.555556, "best_return": 0.20202, "worst_return": -0.104729, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.01407, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.011094, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.199171, "worst_return": -0.171457, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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-44.004598, "energy": 46.535733, "activity_lines": [ 4.95, 5.120207, 5.274626, 5.31635 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 4.35, "volume": 61175374, "typical_volume": 72543551.5, "trend": 5.288037, "fair_value": 5.07498, "relative_strength": -17.427183, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.43803, "energy": 68.259011, "activity_lines": [ 4.730667, 4.94482, 5.180096, 5.254369 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 4.56, "volume": 45614511, "typical_volume": 70294622.05, "trend": 5.274037, "fair_value": 5.067926, "relative_strength": -11.546902, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.632296, "energy": 72.766604, "activity_lines": [ 4.619333, 4.835718, 5.112091, 5.207399 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 4.68, "volume": 55285255, "typical_volume": 70345937.65, "trend": 5.267704, "fair_value": 5.060968, "relative_strength": -13.163141, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.746527, "energy": 72.095602, "activity_lines": [ 4.594, 4.773623, 5.060419, 5.169074 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }