{ "ticker": { "uuid": "0e237678-55fa-48bd-8ebf-6a4308a05398", "symbol": "SY1", "name": "Symrise AG", "exchange": "VIE", "country": "AT", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^ATX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 77.669, "architecture_energy": 63.623, "architecture_maturity": 69.211, "architecture_confidence": 74.526, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 13.07, "rotation_up": 58.83, "upward_expansion": 84.14, "deceleration": 68.19, "rotation_down": 25.22, "downward_expansion": 10.81 }, "activity_lines": [ 89.758668, 88.790183, 84.510577, 81.456598 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 92.300003, "trend_reference": 77.947955, "distance_from_trend": 0.184123, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 91.275759, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.011221, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -0.948567, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.287632, "excess_performance": 0.113386, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.184123, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.085142, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.011221, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.21775, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.009486, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.208782, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.287632, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 5.788136, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 52, "relative_activity": 0.553486, "balance": 5.788136, "dry_up": 3.501863, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.045387, "annualized_volatility": 0.283646, "from_high_reference": -0.020794, "from_low_reference": 0.438422 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 77.947955, "fair_value_reference": 91.275759, "structural_low": 67.354281, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 17, "median_return": -0.026769, "positive_rate": 0.294118, "directional_follow_through": 0.294118, "median_excess_return": -0.02438, "regime_survival": 0.588235, "best_return": 0.107197, "worst_return": -0.133219, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.010268, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.047906, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.12186, "worst_return": -0.210788, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.102428, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.101855, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.159678, "worst_return": -0.156607, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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"2026-07-10", "close": 88.82, "volume": 6, "typical_volume": 241.3, "trend": 75.06849, "fair_value": 91.345101, "relative_strength": -4.472064, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 70.181103, "energy": 88.629498, "activity_lines": [ 88.493333, 84.938182, 80.37336, 78.060089 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 88.199997, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 241.3, "trend": 75.765315, "fair_value": 91.312646, "relative_strength": -2.593706, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.938428, "energy": 86.571271, "activity_lines": [ 88.781332, 86.07709, 81.405856, 78.907283 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 86.580002, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 29.6, "trend": 76.414697, "fair_value": 91.251555, "relative_strength": -5.034379, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.73573, "energy": 65.291259, "activity_lines": [ 88.152, 86.644727, 82.229577, 79.605005 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 89.980003, "volume": 1264, "typical_volume": 91.4, "trend": 77.165609, "fair_value": 91.25357, "relative_strength": -0.891897, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 72.090487, "energy": 62.533746, "activity_lines": [ 88.634667, 87.598182, 83.301013, 80.480186 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 92.300003, "volume": 52, "typical_volume": 93.95, "trend": 77.947955, "fair_value": 91.275759, "relative_strength": -0.948567, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 77.668665, "energy": 63.623232, "activity_lines": [ 89.758668, 88.790183, 84.510577, 81.456598 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }