{ "ticker": { "uuid": "0e255bcb-d127-46ab-a104-f738f5531eaa", "symbol": "301248", "name": "Nexwise Intelligence China Limited", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 84.138, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -18.124, "architecture_energy": 35.348, "architecture_maturity": 3.702, "architecture_confidence": 56.005, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 43.21, "rotation_up": 19.56, "upward_expansion": 23.12, "deceleration": 52.5, "rotation_down": 62.24, "downward_expansion": 43.45 }, "activity_lines": [ 59.429999, 64.832909, 69.460809, 67.016666 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 63.509998, "trend_reference": 62.187333, "distance_from_trend": 0.021269, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 27.563833, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.304106, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 32.771631, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.346692, "excess_performance": 0.339292, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.021269, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.269509, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.304106, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -1.63142, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.327716, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.848876, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.346692, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.492738, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 37132376, "relative_activity": 1.10894, "balance": 0.492738, "dry_up": 1.040458, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.187299, "annualized_volatility": 0.868714, "from_high_reference": -0.355032, "from_low_reference": 1.658044 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 62.187333, "fair_value_reference": 27.563833, "structural_low": 43.400002, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": 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72.222047, 66.124946 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 78.82, "volume": 34503254, "typical_volume": 35771850.5, "trend": 58.493666, "fair_value": 26.631072, "relative_strength": 63.789229, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 56.581909, "energy": 34.680194, "activity_lines": [ 76.666667, 76.576, 73.390809, 67.545376 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 61.279999, "volume": 32641598, "typical_volume": 35690910.0, "trend": 59.578, "fair_value": 26.882225, "relative_strength": 38.026731, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 22.16161, "energy": 14.306545, "activity_lines": [ 72.152666, 73.412182, 72.746809, 67.725139 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 54.119999, "volume": 41375241, "typical_volume": 35601715.15, "trend": 60.430333, "fair_value": 27.093015, "relative_strength": 20.140984, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": -6.105877, "energy": 13.643312, "activity_lines": [ 65.640666, 69.513272, 71.413571, 67.37301 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 52.540001, "volume": 28207936, "typical_volume": 35412890.25, "trend": 61.143, "fair_value": 27.290178, "relative_strength": 17.147931, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -29.768436, "energy": 33.87867, "activity_lines": [ 59.882667, 65.901273, 69.916904, 66.863957 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 63.509998, "volume": 37132376, "typical_volume": 33484555.45, "trend": 62.187333, "fair_value": 27.563833, "relative_strength": 32.771631, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -18.123664, "energy": 35.347997, "activity_lines": [ 59.429999, 64.832909, 69.460809, 67.016666 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }