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Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 94.778, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 55.023, "architecture_energy": 46.166, "architecture_maturity": 4.876, "architecture_confidence": 61.343, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 25.78, "rotation_up": 68.12, "upward_expansion": 75.57, "deceleration": 58.44, "rotation_down": 11.01, "downward_expansion": 6.9 }, "activity_lines": [ 37.486887, 36.414414, 36.144552, 36.131808 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 36.85, "trend_reference": 35.57133, "distance_from_trend": 0.035947, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 29.097264, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.266442, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 1.281948, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.102618, "excess_performance": -0.023006, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.035947, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.071793, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.266442, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.024794, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.012819, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.01992, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.102618, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.087644, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 55632, "relative_activity": 0.514011, "balance": 1.087644, "dry_up": 0.598975, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.051685, "annualized_volatility": 0.280811, "from_high_reference": -0.101763, "from_low_reference": 0.392516 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 35.57133, "fair_value_reference": 29.097264, "structural_low": 33.112103, 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81506, "typical_volume": 121076.0, "trend": 34.655065, "fair_value": 28.89041, "relative_strength": 6.750188, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 24.205669, "energy": 14.900811, "activity_lines": [ 35.106677, 35.15128, 35.685975, 35.565688 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 38.3499, "volume": 66215, "typical_volume": 118526.7, "trend": 34.998902, "fair_value": 28.964978, "relative_strength": 10.90591, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 51.950863, "energy": 30.532865, "activity_lines": [ 36.363111, 35.672733, 35.890145, 35.804065 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 38.55, "volume": 55958, "typical_volume": 111849.05, "trend": 35.321075, "fair_value": 29.039371, "relative_strength": 9.911717, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.656088, "energy": 46.441465, "activity_lines": [ 37.367667, 36.211036, 36.101752, 36.033168 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 36.85, "volume": 55632, "typical_volume": 108231.1, "trend": 35.57133, "fair_value": 29.097264, "relative_strength": 1.281948, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 55.023129, "energy": 46.166216, "activity_lines": [ 37.486887, 36.414414, 36.144552, 36.131808 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }