{ "ticker": { "uuid": "0e39123c-afa3-4ced-b291-ace92dafa91c", "symbol": "SMRT", "name": "SmartRent Inc", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4c", "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch", "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch", "confidence": 74.268, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -22.344, "architecture_energy": 23.163, "architecture_maturity": 57.846, "architecture_confidence": 63.782, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 36.71, "rotation_up": 27.78, "upward_expansion": 17.05, "deceleration": 62.18, "rotation_down": 37.57, "downward_expansion": 67.05 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.129407, 1.112729, 1.157991, 1.247024 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 1.42, "trend_reference": 1.379727, "distance_from_trend": 0.029189, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 1.843754, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.229832, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -14.718885, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.188571, "excess_performance": -0.314196, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.029189, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.142139, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.229832, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.223149, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.147189, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.151699, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.188571, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.207141, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 12805692, "relative_activity": 1.645993, "balance": 1.207141, "dry_up": 1.294801, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.122324, "annualized_volatility": 0.78328, "from_high_reference": -0.354545, "from_low_reference": 0.569061 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.379727, "fair_value_reference": 1.843754, "structural_low": 0.905, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 26, "median_return": -0.019665, "positive_rate": 0.423077, "directional_follow_through": 0.538462, "median_excess_return": -0.026401, "regime_survival": 0.807692, "best_return": 0.225564, "worst_return": -0.408333, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.026201, "positive_rate": 0.555556, "directional_follow_through": 0.444444, "median_excess_return": -0.086093, "regime_survival": 0.555556, "best_return": 0.494118, "worst_return": -0.375, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.252174, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": -0.263636, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.43299, "worst_return": -0.432749, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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1.893706, "relative_strength": -40.240064, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.407855, "energy": 52.920986, "activity_lines": [ 1.0641, 1.108964, 1.199981, 1.304966 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.9475, "volume": 9933344, "typical_volume": 7361190.7, "trend": 1.423393, "fair_value": 1.874523, "relative_strength": -40.657768, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.483215, "energy": 69.615696, "activity_lines": [ 1.013647, 1.074067, 1.165341, 1.271935 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.01, "volume": 5891563, "typical_volume": 7310719.9, "trend": 1.392727, "fair_value": 1.856382, "relative_strength": -37.312573, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.645268, "energy": 66.975241, "activity_lines": [ 0.996193, 1.053671, 1.140571, 1.245264 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.42, "volume": 12805692, "typical_volume": 7779920.7, "trend": 1.379727, "fair_value": 1.843754, "relative_strength": -14.718885, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -22.344328, "energy": 23.162936, "activity_lines": [ 1.129407, 1.112729, 1.157991, 1.247024 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }