{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "0e45e493-090c-4384-9c75-97fef628c017",
    "symbol": "QGRO",
    "name": "AMERICAN CENTURY ETF TRUST US QUALITY GROWTH ETF",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 69.039,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 51.847,
    "architecture_energy": 24.401,
    "architecture_maturity": 35.553,
    "architecture_confidence": 79.103,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 40.07,
        "rotation_up": 36.63,
        "upward_expansion": 59.08,
        "deceleration": 83.85,
        "rotation_down": 24.71,
        "downward_expansion": 18.08
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        115.606,
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        114.980048,
        113.621142
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 117.87,
    "trend_reference": 112.419549,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.048483,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 96.429302,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.222346,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -6.970913,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.076306,
    "excess_performance": -0.049319,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.048483,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.004067,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.222346,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.004477,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.069709,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.027151,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.076306,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.790719,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 411807,
      "relative_activity": 0.722937,
      "balance": 1.790719,
      "dry_up": 0.714405,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.030852,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.145193,
      "from_high_reference": -0.01775,
      "from_low_reference": 0.16715
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 112.419549,
      "fair_value_reference": 96.429302,
      "structural_low": 100.989607,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 9,
        "median_return": 0.045099,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.00573,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.100442,
        "worst_return": -0.060766,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.050352,
        "positive_rate": 0.8,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.8,
        "median_excess_return": -0.009243,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.092377,
        "worst_return": -0.125691,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.092649,
        "positive_rate": 0.8,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.8,
        "median_excess_return": -0.00291,
        "regime_survival": 0.2,
        "best_return": 0.274445,
        "worst_return": -0.06495,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.188259,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.056317,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.39252,
        "worst_return": -0.204469,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-01-17",
        "end": "2025-01-24",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.03068,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-01-31",
        "end": "2025-03-14",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.106927,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-03-21",
        "end": "2025-03-28",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.024332,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-04-04",
        "end": "2025-04-18",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.069162,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-25",
        "end": "2025-05-16",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.106492,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-05-23",
        "end": "2025-07-04",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.058211,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-07-11",
        "end": "2026-01-30",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.048776,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-02-06",
        "end": "2026-02-13",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.005201,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-02-20",
        "end": "2026-03-06",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.018179,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2026-03-13",
        "end": "2026-04-24",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.071127,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-05-01",
        "end": "2026-05-22",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.019945,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
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        "active": true
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        "date": "2026-04-17",
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        "fair_value": 91.476207,
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        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 650595.55,
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        "direction": 23.508917,
        "energy": 28.16747,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 116.436135,
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        "typical_volume": 653925.35,
        "trend": 111.964206,
        "fair_value": 93.391473,
        "relative_strength": -8.077984,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "volume": 570305,
        "typical_volume": 654103.35,
        "trend": 111.976928,
        "fair_value": 93.700598,
        "relative_strength": -7.474154,
        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
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        "energy": 27.390663,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 115.91,
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        "typical_volume": 714703.95,
        "trend": 112.087018,
        "fair_value": 94.011191,
        "relative_strength": -6.177946,
        "stage": 3,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "fair_value": 94.338174,
        "relative_strength": -5.574594,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "typical_volume": 650046.0,
        "trend": 112.373613,
        "fair_value": 94.633855,
        "relative_strength": -5.357872,
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        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 29.89915,
        "energy": 34.649537,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 116.25,
        "volume": 257160,
        "typical_volume": 634903.55,
        "trend": 112.414493,
        "fair_value": 94.946404,
        "relative_strength": -5.878824,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "direction": 59.847601,
        "energy": 48.686465,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 117.7,
        "volume": 280374,
        "typical_volume": 625782.45,
        "trend": 112.525339,
        "fair_value": 95.252288,
        "relative_strength": -5.791341,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.154334,
        "energy": 55.255196,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 114.59,
        "volume": 495777,
        "typical_volume": 622661.8,
        "trend": 112.488054,
        "fair_value": 95.538236,
        "relative_strength": -6.619074,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 54.531592,
        "energy": 33.895625,
        "activity_lines": [
          115.956,
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          113.077506
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 113.38,
        "volume": 422407,
        "typical_volume": 602591.25,
        "trend": 112.380793,
        "fair_value": 95.816872,
        "relative_strength": -6.825444,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 40.478243,
        "energy": 24.671568,
        "activity_lines": [
          115.036,
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          114.321757,
          113.135051
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 114.43,
        "volume": 297796,
        "typical_volume": 590784.95,
        "trend": 112.384804,
        "fair_value": 96.112537,
        "relative_strength": -6.746613,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 35.965357,
        "energy": 19.11841,
        "activity_lines": [
          114.739333,
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          114.50628,
          113.267258
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 117.87,
        "volume": 411807,
        "typical_volume": 569630.65,
        "trend": 112.419549,
        "fair_value": 96.429302,
        "relative_strength": -6.970913,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 51.847154,
        "energy": 24.400719,
        "activity_lines": [
          115.606,
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          113.621142
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}