{ "ticker": { "uuid": "0e53bc3c-4d30-4a80-b254-0d432679da1b", "symbol": "ADI", "name": "Analog Devices, Inc.", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 93.694, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 8.466, "architecture_energy": 17.368, "architecture_maturity": 69.286, "architecture_confidence": 76.705, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 62.16, "rotation_up": 16.35, "upward_expansion": 45.84, "deceleration": 87.81, "rotation_down": 38.74, "downward_expansion": 28.51 }, "activity_lines": [ 6570.451856, 6660.578098, 6739.806059, 6569.748497 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 6679.279785, "trend_reference": 6301.87085, "distance_from_trend": 0.059888, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 4424.980018, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.509449, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 17.239193, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.194806, "excess_performance": 0.249473, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.059888, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.116562, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.509449, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.191137, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.172392, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.107459, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.194806, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.893891, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 4120, "relative_activity": 3.210973, "balance": 0.893891, "dry_up": 2.432001, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.048836, "annualized_volatility": 0.348635, "from_high_reference": -0.098917, "from_low_reference": 0.606646 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 6301.87085, "fair_value_reference": 4424.980018, "structural_low": 5459.0, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": 0.043467, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.036314, "regime_survival": 0.466667, "best_return": 0.286928, "worst_return": -0.047443, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.148478, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.118968, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.33622, "worst_return": 0.032228, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.00711, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.011649, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.415823, "worst_return": -0.046033, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"fair_value": 4361.239773, "relative_strength": 15.092867, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 24.109232, "energy": 22.467888, "activity_lines": [ 6685.122591, 6817.988477, 6730.789188, 6497.810575 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 6646.0, "volume": 7, "typical_volume": 1213.3, "trend": 6196.760547, "fair_value": 4383.419634, "relative_strength": 18.977888, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 25.543179, "energy": 24.01612, "activity_lines": [ 6647.362598, 6771.6197, 6745.862807, 6530.39872 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 6371.589844, "volume": 537, "typical_volume": 1092.6, "trend": 6244.187533, "fair_value": 4403.21364, "relative_strength": 12.558155, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": -3.459625, "energy": 16.450776, "activity_lines": [ 6537.398568, 6685.614862, 6730.355364, 6541.678029 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 6679.279785, "volume": 4120, "typical_volume": 1283.1, "trend": 6301.87085, "fair_value": 4424.980018, "relative_strength": 17.239193, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 8.466493, "energy": 17.367555, "activity_lines": [ 6570.451856, 6660.578098, 6739.806059, 6569.748497 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }