{ "ticker": { "uuid": "0e61e221-09bb-4643-9a9c-40554efba79b", "symbol": "RAFE", "name": "PIMCO EQUITY SERIES RAFI ESG U S ETF", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 90.752, "architecture_energy": 78.481, "architecture_maturity": 45.854, "architecture_confidence": 85.328, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 0.17, "rotation_up": 70.65, "upward_expansion": 91.89, "deceleration": 48.11, "rotation_down": 25.48, "downward_expansion": 13.89 }, "activity_lines": [ 48.810293, 48.36681, 47.306812, 46.17237 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 49.78, "trend_reference": 44.885317, "distance_from_trend": 0.109049, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 36.823294, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.351862, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 3.285794, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.140674, "excess_performance": 0.015049, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.109049, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.050931, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.351862, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.072083, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.032858, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.039165, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.140674, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.563007, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 37523, "relative_activity": 0.606286, "balance": 1.563007, "dry_up": 0.79809, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.017558, "annualized_volatility": 0.106251, "from_high_reference": 0.0, "from_low_reference": 0.317258 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 44.885317, "fair_value_reference": 36.823294, "structural_low": 40.445451, "invalidation": "A 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"date": "2026-07-24", "close": 48.28, "volume": 74016, "typical_volume": 67977.3, "trend": 44.427493, "fair_value": 36.563459, "relative_strength": 5.121688, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 73.981284, "energy": 80.240743, "activity_lines": [ 48.100693, 47.783807, 46.586955, 45.57347 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 48.5786, "volume": 43045, "typical_volume": 64333.75, "trend": 44.648161, "fair_value": 36.689172, "relative_strength": 4.468908, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 76.811013, "energy": 71.234901, "activity_lines": [ 48.286867, 47.987698, 46.906882, 45.841284 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 49.78, "volume": 37523, "typical_volume": 61889.95, "trend": 44.885317, "fair_value": 36.823294, "relative_strength": 3.285794, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 90.751739, "energy": 78.48141, "activity_lines": [ 48.810293, 48.36681, 47.306812, 46.17237 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }