{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "0e7c3b60-75e7-45f8-b6a5-a55b7740e6ba",
    "symbol": "ALGIR",
    "name": "Signaux Girod S.A.",
    "exchange": "PAR",
    "country": "FR",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FCHI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 87.317,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 26.898,
    "architecture_energy": 12.482,
    "architecture_maturity": 47.776,
    "architecture_confidence": 87.148,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 52.53,
        "rotation_up": 29.53,
        "upward_expansion": 49.91,
        "deceleration": 84.83,
        "rotation_down": 29.05,
        "downward_expansion": 24.91
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        16.64,
        16.772728,
        16.695659,
        16.630842
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.0
    },
    "latest_close": 16.700001,
    "trend_reference": 16.304201,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.024276,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 13.89299,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.202045,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 2.607101,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.110395,
    "excess_performance": 0.057084,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.024276,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.066211,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.202045,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.012567,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.026071,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.063573,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.110395,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.17323,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 170,
      "relative_activity": 0.075141,
      "balance": 1.17323,
      "dry_up": 0.22896,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.062183,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.33843,
      "from_high_reference": -0.103988,
      "from_low_reference": 0.279113
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 16.304201,
      "fair_value_reference": 13.89299,
      "structural_low": 14.80902,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 13,
        "median_return": 0.007692,
        "positive_rate": 0.538462,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.538462,
        "median_excess_return": -0.018596,
        "regime_survival": 0.692308,
        "best_return": 0.046875,
        "worst_return": -0.14375,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.0,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": -0.0305,
        "regime_survival": 0.2,
        "best_return": 0.046875,
        "worst_return": -0.150602,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.067596,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.03294,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.272109,
        "worst_return": -0.174699,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.264432,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.158952,
        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
        "best_return": 0.460938,
        "worst_return": -0.007796,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-06-21",
        "end": "2024-06-28",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.122581,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-07-05",
        "end": "2024-07-12",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-07-19",
        "end": "2024-07-26",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.005988,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-08-02",
        "end": "2024-08-09",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.025,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-08-16",
        "end": "2025-01-10",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.152439,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-01-17",
        "end": "2025-01-24",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.034247,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-01-31",
        "end": "2025-02-21",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.02454,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-02-28",
        "end": "2025-04-25",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.025074,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-05-02",
        "end": "2025-07-04",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.006623,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-07-11",
        "end": "2025-08-08",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.036545,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-08-15",
        "end": "2025-10-10",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.006667,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-10-17",
        "end": "2026-01-30",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.06,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-02-06",
        "end": "2026-05-01",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.083799,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-05-08",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.04375,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
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          16.985893,
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          16.19063,
          15.583462
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 16.299999,
        "volume": 1215,
        "typical_volume": 2985.1,
        "trend": 14.967723,
        "fair_value": 13.415716,
        "relative_strength": 11.117458,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 41.354909,
        "energy": 24.591895,
        "activity_lines": [
          16.686666,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 16.0,
        "volume": 2014,
        "typical_volume": 3002.5,
        "trend": 15.042791,
        "fair_value": 13.451281,
        "relative_strength": 8.964424,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 37.157864,
        "energy": 20.802798,
        "activity_lines": [
          16.403333,
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          15.7417
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 16.0,
        "volume": 955,
        "typical_volume": 3013.6,
        "trend": 15.114785,
        "fair_value": 13.486845,
        "relative_strength": 10.909228,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 31.203137,
        "energy": 19.487788,
        "activity_lines": [
          16.246666,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 16.5,
        "volume": 287,
        "typical_volume": 2936.45,
        "trend": 15.204982,
        "fair_value": 13.525614,
        "relative_strength": 11.744139,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 29.985971,
        "energy": 18.423719,
        "activity_lines": [
          16.26,
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          15.892825
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 16.35,
        "volume": 1173,
        "typical_volume": 2929.1,
        "trend": 15.291718,
        "fair_value": 13.562911,
        "relative_strength": 9.51257,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 28.063766,
        "energy": 15.151365,
        "activity_lines": [
          16.27,
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          15.966697
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 16.75,
        "volume": 59,
        "typical_volume": 2864.05,
        "trend": 15.391786,
        "fair_value": 13.60226,
        "relative_strength": 11.362781,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 26.533513,
        "energy": 13.775155,
        "activity_lines": [
          16.443333,
          16.453636,
          16.507694,
          16.060779
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 16.4,
        "volume": 2,
        "typical_volume": 2830.1,
        "trend": 15.484802,
        "fair_value": 13.638854,
        "relative_strength": 7.093792,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 31.483526,
        "energy": 16.871245,
        "activity_lines": [
          16.47,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 16.1,
        "volume": 84,
        "typical_volume": 2691.85,
        "trend": 15.570893,
        "fair_value": 13.673525,
        "relative_strength": 4.141127,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 27.067435,
        "energy": 13.780941,
        "activity_lines": [
          16.37,
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          16.165516
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 18.200001,
        "volume": 2919,
        "typical_volume": 2673.35,
        "trend": 15.728522,
        "fair_value": 13.721147,
        "relative_strength": 17.76132,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.019032,
        "energy": 42.40136,
        "activity_lines": [
          16.963334,
          16.679091,
          16.674128,
          16.335135
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 17.5,
        "volume": 2,
        "typical_volume": 2586.15,
        "trend": 15.859742,
        "fair_value": 13.761723,
        "relative_strength": 11.292149,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Re-acceleration watch",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 55.72191,
        "energy": 47.648468,
        "activity_lines": [
          17.21,
          16.853637,
          16.763246,
          16.449424
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 16.299999,
        "volume": 2397,
        "typical_volume": 2602.2,
        "trend": 15.93097,
        "fair_value": 13.793074,
        "relative_strength": 5.563892,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 42.53172,
        "energy": 35.109656,
        "activity_lines": [
          16.98,
          16.797273,
          16.727241,
          16.477828
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 16.9,
        "volume": 957,
        "typical_volume": 2591.95,
        "trend": 16.031426,
        "fair_value": 13.822132,
        "relative_strength": 9.166613,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 45.707352,
        "energy": 36.145964,
        "activity_lines": [
          16.98,
          16.85,
          16.745453,
          16.540346
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 16.200001,
        "volume": 311,
        "typical_volume": 2553.15,
        "trend": 16.105472,
        "fair_value": 13.843124,
        "relative_strength": 4.032407,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 19.893808,
        "energy": 9.196516,
        "activity_lines": [
          16.713334,
          16.759091,
          16.694071,
          16.551222
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 16.85,
        "volume": 634,
        "typical_volume": 2486.3,
        "trend": 16.210412,
        "fair_value": 13.868282,
        "relative_strength": 6.23236,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 29.227643,
        "energy": 15.619899,
        "activity_lines": [
          16.656667,
          16.782727,
          16.703902,
          16.599256
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 16.700001,
        "volume": 170,
        "typical_volume": 2262.4,
        "trend": 16.304201,
        "fair_value": 13.89299,
        "relative_strength": 2.607101,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 26.897842,
        "energy": 12.482047,
        "activity_lines": [
          16.64,
          16.772728,
          16.695659,
          16.630842
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}