{ "ticker": { "uuid": "0e92c336-70b4-44f0-aab9-ab003aa69208", "symbol": "BIL", "name": "Bhartiya International Ltd.", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 80.418, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 22.933, "architecture_energy": 15.485, "architecture_maturity": 38.194, "architecture_confidence": 88.91, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 61.84, "rotation_up": 41.15, "upward_expansion": 36.84, "deceleration": 33.91, "rotation_down": 30.52, "downward_expansion": 21.17 }, "activity_lines": [ 765.546655, 757.144539, 749.624759, 749.906558 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 830.349976, "trend_reference": 753.205003, "distance_from_trend": 0.102422, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 597.935899, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.388694, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 7.369835, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.093257, "excess_performance": -0.049548, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.102422, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.019143, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.388694, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.071679, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.073698, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.115352, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.093257, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.227631, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 51693, "relative_activity": 2.55053, "balance": 2.227631, "dry_up": 1.397912, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.083806, "annualized_volatility": 0.391527, "from_high_reference": -0.152704, "from_low_reference": 0.379319 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 753.205003, "fair_value_reference": 597.935899, "structural_low": 648.0, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 18, "median_return": -0.018065, "positive_rate": 0.388889, "directional_follow_through": 0.388889, "median_excess_return": -0.007045, "regime_survival": 0.611111, "best_return": 0.118391, "worst_return": -0.161627, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.020209, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.013587, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.387006, "worst_return": -0.158247, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.042287, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.095041, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.644784, "worst_return": -0.02336, 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], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }