{ "ticker": { "uuid": "0ea01778-d020-4fe2-bbf1-176fcf55b494", "symbol": "ADEN", "name": "ADENTRA Inc.", "exchange": "TOR", "country": "CA", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 45.457, "architecture_energy": 39.55, "architecture_maturity": 18.038, "architecture_confidence": 63.628, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 30.23, "rotation_up": 58.37, "upward_expansion": 49.17, "deceleration": 34.85, "rotation_down": 25.92, "downward_expansion": 16.84 }, "activity_lines": [ 36.988898, 36.539923, 35.554869, 35.384302 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 39.27, "trend_reference": 35.68464, "distance_from_trend": 0.100473, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 33.683363, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.165857, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -0.045862, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.02171, "excess_performance": -0.098711, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.100473, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.027589, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.165857, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.139878, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.000459, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.079487, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.02171, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.401563, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 326300, "relative_activity": 1.477206, "balance": 1.401563, "dry_up": 1.120241, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.05904, "annualized_volatility": 0.345602, "from_high_reference": -0.04227, "from_low_reference": 0.261776 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 35.68464, "fair_value_reference": 33.683363, "structural_low": 31.43, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.092822, "positive_rate": 0.777778, "directional_follow_through": 0.777778, "median_excess_return": 0.072399, "regime_survival": 0.555556, "best_return": 0.19243, "worst_return": -0.057226, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.142405, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.085828, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.320717, "worst_return": -0.159206, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.158149, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.095974, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.31878, "worst_return": -0.062997, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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-1.270467, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 35.720019, "energy": 48.167176, "activity_lines": [ 36.434867, 35.615634, 34.918587, 35.129307 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 36.52, "volume": 218200, "typical_volume": 242925.0, "trend": 35.534346, "fair_value": 33.63667, "relative_strength": -4.671417, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 17.653219, "energy": 30.941633, "activity_lines": [ 36.521443, 35.917791, 35.105162, 35.197811 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 34.720001, "volume": 155400, "typical_volume": 221790.0, "trend": 35.565047, "fair_value": 33.639167, "relative_strength": -8.857115, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 5.055495, "energy": 9.873755, "activity_lines": [ 35.909448, 35.831948, 35.115308, 35.145273 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 39.27, "volume": 326300, "typical_volume": 220890.0, "trend": 35.68464, "fair_value": 33.683363, "relative_strength": -0.045862, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 45.45656, "energy": 39.549788, "activity_lines": [ 36.988898, 36.539923, 35.554869, 35.384302 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }