{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "0eb4ac6b-752e-4509-bbe6-43e6aa4062a1",
    "symbol": "ONDO",
    "name": "Ondo InsurTech Plc",
    "exchange": "LSE",
    "country": "GB",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 77.4,
    "architecture_energy": 72.314,
    "architecture_maturity": 42.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 76.845,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 12.87,
        "rotation_up": 78.73,
        "upward_expansion": 89.1,
        "deceleration": 49.89,
        "rotation_down": 10.76,
        "downward_expansion": 13.43
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        0.7996,
        0.708618,
        0.565193,
        0.468342
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 0.875,
    "trend_reference": 0.35665,
    "distance_from_trend": 1.453386,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 0.271224,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 2.226111,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 149.448095,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 3.888268,
    "excess_performance": 3.837033,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.453386,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.504852,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.226111,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.747371,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.494481,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.129918,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 3.888268,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.376502,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 14040959,
      "relative_activity": 1.80907,
      "balance": 2.376502,
      "dry_up": 1.475635,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.190488,
      "annualized_volatility": 2.00449,
      "from_high_reference": -0.078947,
      "from_low_reference": 5.25
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 0.35665,
      "fair_value_reference": 0.271224,
      "structural_low": 0.14,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 15,
        "median_return": 0.101695,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.065064,
        "regime_survival": 0.8,
        "best_return": 1.0,
        "worst_return": -0.134328,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.414815,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
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        "regime_survival": 0.4,
        "best_return": 1.151515,
        "worst_return": -0.415254,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.041826,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.105385,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
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        "worst_return": -0.491525,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
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        "median_excess_return": 1.056878,
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        "best_return": 2.090909,
        "worst_return": 0.203704,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "end": "2024-03-22",
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        "return": -0.192593,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "tenure": "Extended",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "color": "amber",
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        "tenure": "Established",
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 6908993.7,
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        "fair_value": 0.262237,
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        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 6992917.75,
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        "fair_value": 0.264763,
        "relative_strength": 114.842043,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 0.826,
        "volume": 7349241,
        "typical_volume": 7267020.0,
        "trend": 0.33405,
        "fair_value": 0.267763,
        "relative_strength": 143.391888,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 77.896209,
        "energy": 71.292017,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.748,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.875,
        "volume": 14040959,
        "typical_volume": 7761425.3,
        "trend": 0.35665,
        "fair_value": 0.271224,
        "relative_strength": 149.448095,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 77.399671,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}