{ "ticker": { "uuid": "0ebb348e-d3c6-42af-9db5-ad182e9d9d17", "symbol": "4337", "name": "Muscat Capital - Al Masha'ar REIT Fund", "exchange": "SAU", "country": "SA", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^TASI.SR", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 86.4, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Momentum cooling", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -54.872, "architecture_energy": 73.026, "architecture_maturity": 55.343, "architecture_confidence": 64.937, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 8.89, "rotation_up": 18.79, "upward_expansion": 26.01, "deceleration": 40.3, "rotation_down": 74.63, "downward_expansion": 63.01 }, "activity_lines": [ 4.844667, 4.964545, 5.071152, 5.077397 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 4.7, "trend_reference": 4.9698, "distance_from_trend": -0.054288, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 4.331046, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.085188, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 3.836995, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.067126, "excess_performance": 0.098956, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.054288, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.071391, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair 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"trend": 4.815036, "fair_value": 4.306627, "relative_strength": 17.174919, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 25.113515, "energy": 16.126238, "activity_lines": [ 5.155333, 5.172, 5.194846, 5.064997 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 5.13, "volume": 475665, "typical_volume": 528292.95, "trend": 4.851021, "fair_value": 4.313376, "relative_strength": 15.218994, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 21.555688, "energy": 13.930965, "activity_lines": [ 5.147333, 5.162545, 5.191944, 5.085317 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 5.06, "volume": 106216, "typical_volume": 524086.1, "trend": 4.887623, "fair_value": 4.319446, "relative_strength": 14.112821, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 11.419313, "energy": 8.64889, "activity_lines": [ 5.119333, 5.141091, 5.181214, 5.0988 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 4.96, "volume": 126313, "typical_volume": 481222.85, "trend": 4.919253, "fair_value": 4.324612, "relative_strength": 10.614696, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": -3.603116, "energy": 10.754127, "activity_lines": [ 5.063333, 5.104909, 5.1584, 5.103469 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 4.76, "volume": 407072, "typical_volume": 469579.9, "trend": 4.944871, "fair_value": 4.328095, "relative_strength": 7.852813, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "up", "direction": -21.492154, "energy": 38.63188, "activity_lines": [ 4.952, 5.035818, 5.116654, 5.093195 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 4.7, "volume": 128101, "typical_volume": 460610.45, "trend": 4.9698, "fair_value": 4.331046, "relative_strength": 3.836995, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -54.872273, "energy": 73.025725, "activity_lines": [ 4.844667, 4.964545, 5.071152, 5.077397 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }