{ "ticker": { "uuid": "0ebd3e31-9226-4c7b-b8aa-00ce7156c5e6", "symbol": "LGO", "name": "Largo Resources Ltd", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -62.722, "architecture_energy": 59.264, "architecture_maturity": 43.248, "architecture_confidence": 91.68, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 11.04, "rotation_up": 24.39, "upward_expansion": 10.72, "deceleration": 49.01, "rotation_down": 54.22, "downward_expansion": 81.72 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.646087, 0.674456, 0.797723, 0.919821 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 0.7, "trend_reference": 1.078233, "distance_from_trend": -0.35079, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 1.689088, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.585575, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -48.698428, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.527027, "excess_performance": -0.714481, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.35079, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.087328, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.585575, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.163323, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.486984, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.200889, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.527027, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.237467, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1825798, "relative_activity": 0.273051, "balance": 1.237467, "dry_up": 0.335231, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.199011, "annualized_volatility": 0.733467, "from_high_reference": -0.740731, "from_low_reference": 0.272727 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.078233, "fair_value_reference": 1.689088, "structural_low": 0.55, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 38, "median_return": -0.048193, "positive_rate": 0.368421, "directional_follow_through": 0.631579, "median_excess_return": -0.067521, "regime_survival": 0.868421, "best_return": 0.414442, "worst_return": -0.235195, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": -0.11254, "positive_rate": 0.307692, "directional_follow_through": 0.692308, "median_excess_return": -0.244292, "regime_survival": 0.615385, "best_return": 0.566021, "worst_return": -0.384106, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.015306, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.202021, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.286174, "worst_return": -0.572052, "sufficient": true }, { 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] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.6209, "volume": 2915531, "typical_volume": 7811902.65, "trend": 1.123737, "fair_value": 1.756204, "relative_strength": -54.819689, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.724658, "energy": 74.764997, "activity_lines": [ 0.69144, 0.745985, 0.89543, 1.011325 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.6202, "volume": 1635884, "typical_volume": 7345467.25, "trend": 1.10991, "fair_value": 1.730565, "relative_strength": -53.269469, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.478958, "energy": 63.424817, "activity_lines": [ 0.664953, 0.712165, 0.857296, 0.978839 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.5897, "volume": 2589085, "typical_volume": 6971334.05, "trend": 1.094567, "fair_value": 1.707742, "relative_strength": -55.160296, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.814936, "energy": 73.672604, "activity_lines": [ 0.635453, 0.679887, 0.820685, 0.945277 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.7, "volume": 1825798, "typical_volume": 6686661.75, "trend": 1.078233, "fair_value": 1.689088, "relative_strength": -48.698428, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.722256, "energy": 59.26417, "activity_lines": [ 0.646087, 0.674456, 0.797723, 0.919821 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }