{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "0ebe4284-d9f4-4875-abb6-e36d5d846e76",
    "symbol": "XDEQ",
    "name": "Xtrackers MSCI World Quality UCITS ETF 1C",
    "exchange": "EBS",
    "country": "CH",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^SSMI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 92.579,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 90.091,
    "architecture_energy": 78.326,
    "architecture_maturity": 38.407,
    "architecture_confidence": 83.186,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 4.89,
        "rotation_up": 69.71,
        "upward_expansion": 90.38,
        "deceleration": 49.71,
        "rotation_down": 22.34,
        "downward_expansion": 14.71
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        90.548667,
        89.88091,
        88.691381,
        87.266645
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 92.330002,
    "trend_reference": 85.715334,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.07717,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 72.182481,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.279119,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 0.548566,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.116985,
    "excess_performance": 0.034102,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.07717,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.035993,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.279119,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.028024,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.005486,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.053992,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.116985,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 10.217475,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 6154,
      "relative_activity": 0.60624,
      "balance": 10.217475,
      "dry_up": 1.29454,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.01518,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.128363,
      "from_high_reference": -0.002916,
      "from_low_reference": 0.225023
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 85.715334,
      "fair_value_reference": 72.182481,
      "structural_low": 77.93,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 40,
        "median_return": 0.014589,
        "positive_rate": 0.625,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.625,
        "median_excess_return": 0.006411,
        "regime_survival": 0.75,
        "best_return": 0.066102,
        "worst_return": -0.066455,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 15,
        "median_return": 0.035544,
        "positive_rate": 0.733333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.733333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.014952,
        "regime_survival": 0.6,
        "best_return": 0.13223,
        "worst_return": -0.082982,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": 0.074691,
        "positive_rate": 0.875,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.875,
        "median_excess_return": 0.049018,
        "regime_survival": 0.75,
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        "worst_return": -0.213235,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.16769,
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        "worst_return": -0.17737,
        "sufficient": false
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    ],
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        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-08-23",
        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "return": -0.020228,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2025-01-24",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.018739,
        "active": false
      },
      {
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "return": 0.002742,
        "active": false
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-03-28",
        "end": "2025-05-30",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 85.120003,
        "volume": 4005,
        "typical_volume": 9174.35,
        "trend": 81.591567,
        "fair_value": 69.108442,
        "relative_strength": 3.957467,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Re-acceleration watch",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 62.898982,
        "energy": 53.770593,
        "activity_lines": [
          84.840667,
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          82.985429,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 86.739998,
        "volume": 20472,
        "typical_volume": 9263.9,
        "trend": 81.844234,
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        "relative_strength": 5.947767,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 75.321965,
        "energy": 79.020702,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 86.760002,
        "volume": 48375,
        "typical_volume": 11433.35,
        "trend": 82.162901,
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        "relative_strength": 4.785203,
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 72.828896,
        "energy": 80.159884,
        "activity_lines": [
          86.209334,
          84.638,
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          83.147478
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 87.879997,
        "volume": 4083,
        "typical_volume": 11280.15,
        "trend": 82.441,
        "fair_value": 69.776327,
        "relative_strength": 3.689982,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 78.633213,
        "energy": 81.844422,
        "activity_lines": [
          86.827999,
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          84.148048,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 88.309998,
        "volume": 9290,
        "typical_volume": 10973.85,
        "trend": 82.737334,
        "fair_value": 70.00043,
        "relative_strength": 3.692922,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 77.419218,
        "energy": 82.315163,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 88.0,
        "volume": 343,
        "typical_volume": 10717.9,
        "trend": 83.071,
        "fair_value": 70.22293,
        "relative_strength": 4.313347,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 70.169515,
        "energy": 79.191403,
        "activity_lines": [
          87.809332,
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          84.983952,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 88.809998,
        "volume": 1126,
        "typical_volume": 10372.4,
        "trend": 83.393334,
        "fair_value": 70.438507,
        "relative_strength": 2.674167,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 76.155269,
        "energy": 84.380302,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 88.550003,
        "volume": 216,
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        "trend": 83.77,
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        "relative_strength": 1.764489,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 69.966258,
        "energy": 83.004212,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 87.0,
        "volume": 36,
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        "trend": 83.999334,
        "fair_value": 70.865237,
        "relative_strength": -2.818873,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.03775,
        "energy": 63.683678,
        "activity_lines": [
          87.996,
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          86.04919,
          85.145828
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 90.269997,
        "volume": 1156,
        "typical_volume": 9768.65,
        "trend": 84.310334,
        "fair_value": 71.096071,
        "relative_strength": -0.925706,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 85.894932,
        "energy": 74.478654,
        "activity_lines": [
          88.707999,
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          86.56438,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 89.760002,
        "volume": 4902,
        "typical_volume": 9742.7,
        "trend": 84.587,
        "fair_value": 71.310365,
        "relative_strength": -0.181559,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 76.398764,
        "energy": 73.856325,
        "activity_lines": [
          89.119333,
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          87.002571,
          85.901978
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 89.800003,
        "volume": 17207,
        "typical_volume": 10409.3,
        "trend": 84.882001,
        "fair_value": 71.524148,
        "relative_strength": -0.898274,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 73.59871,
        "energy": 78.586101,
        "activity_lines": [
          89.426668,
          88.941819,
          87.421286,
          86.238301
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 88.900002,
        "volume": 5387,
        "typical_volume": 10449.2,
        "trend": 85.129334,
        "fair_value": 71.728635,
        "relative_strength": -1.735606,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.343181,
        "energy": 75.851107,
        "activity_lines": [
          89.368001,
          89.012001,
          87.731191,
          86.497527
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 90.129997,
        "volume": 23816,
        "typical_volume": 10848.8,
        "trend": 85.409334,
        "fair_value": 71.947673,
        "relative_strength": -0.484523,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 72.069212,
        "energy": 68.01818,
        "activity_lines": [
          89.696,
          89.266909,
          88.128952,
          86.820151
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 92.330002,
        "volume": 6154,
        "typical_volume": 10151.1,
        "trend": 85.715334,
        "fair_value": 72.182481,
        "relative_strength": 0.548566,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 90.091399,
        "energy": 78.326102,
        "activity_lines": [
          90.548667,
          89.88091,
          88.691381,
          87.266645
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}