{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "0ec028ef-8383-42da-82f7-9a88c268cc2f",
    "symbol": "TDIV",
    "name": "VanEck Morningstar Developed Markets Dividend Leaders UCITS ETF",
    "exchange": "LSE",
    "country": "GB",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 95.89,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 85.411,
    "architecture_energy": 87.613,
    "architecture_maturity": 10.685,
    "architecture_confidence": 71.532,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 12.49,
        "rotation_up": 86.48,
        "upward_expansion": 97.0,
        "deceleration": 39.0,
        "rotation_down": 8.2,
        "downward_expansion": 19.0
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        62.878334,
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        61.146272,
        60.83636
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 63.895,
    "trend_reference": 60.360212,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.058562,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 45.701659,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.398089,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 3.30089,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.059416,
    "excess_performance": 0.00818,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.058562,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.038302,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.398089,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.015381,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.033009,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.017051,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.059416,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 3.583096,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 178498,
      "relative_activity": 2.233868,
      "balance": 3.583096,
      "dry_up": 1.374135,
      "accumulation_observations": 5,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.019314,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.108408,
      "from_high_reference": -0.003043,
      "from_low_reference": 0.28319
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 60.360212,
      "fair_value_reference": 45.701659,
      "structural_low": 57.91,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 41,
        "median_return": 0.013288,
        "positive_rate": 0.585366,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.585366,
        "median_excess_return": 0.004349,
        "regime_survival": 0.707317,
        "best_return": 0.092161,
        "worst_return": -0.075669,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 16,
        "median_return": 0.037217,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": 0.00623,
        "regime_survival": 0.6875,
        "best_return": 0.163118,
        "worst_return": -0.089424,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 9,
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        "positive_rate": 0.888889,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.888889,
        "median_excess_return": 0.036201,
        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
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        "worst_return": -0.057342,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "positive_rate": 1.0,
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        "worst_return": 0.052956,
        "sufficient": false
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        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-02-23",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.01133,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "tenure": "Established",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "end": "2025-01-03",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "end": "2025-01-17",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 161814.5,
        "trend": 57.845611,
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        "relative_strength": 3.921098,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 156328.05,
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        "relative_strength": 2.988749,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "typical_volume": 147106.95,
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        "relative_strength": 2.765013,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "relative_strength": 3.329051,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "trend": 59.280671,
        "fair_value": 44.801166,
        "relative_strength": 0.548618,
        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 97172.4,
        "trend": 59.474224,
        "fair_value": 44.972052,
        "relative_strength": 2.665752,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 90701,
        "typical_volume": 87798.45,
        "trend": 59.680201,
        "fair_value": 45.147399,
        "relative_strength": 3.254959,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.696395,
        "energy": 45.808815,
        "activity_lines": [
          60.796666,
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          60.364698,
          60.221828
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 61.990002,
        "volume": 93793,
        "typical_volume": 84292.9,
        "trend": 59.877235,
        "fair_value": 45.321152,
        "relative_strength": 2.070874,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.917793,
        "energy": 63.132314,
        "activity_lines": [
          61.339334,
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          60.536874,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 63.305,
        "volume": 76211,
        "typical_volume": 77571.6,
        "trend": 60.107314,
        "fair_value": 45.508189,
        "relative_strength": 2.785068,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 81.349484,
        "energy": 79.663042,
        "activity_lines": [
          62.145,
          61.287733,
          60.822668,
          60.591993
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 63.895,
        "volume": 178498,
        "typical_volume": 79905.35,
        "trend": 60.360212,
        "fair_value": 45.701659,
        "relative_strength": 3.30089,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 85.410522,
        "energy": 87.613422,
        "activity_lines": [
          62.878334,
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          60.83636
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}