{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "0ec8563c-0e43-4378-b022-c3be78cebe74",
    "symbol": "600552",
    "name": "Triumph Science & Technology Co.,Ltd",
    "exchange": "SHH",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "000001.SS",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 13.169,
    "architecture_energy": 28.428,
    "architecture_maturity": 66.21,
    "architecture_confidence": 75.659,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 43.67,
        "rotation_up": 17.89,
        "upward_expansion": 45.78,
        "deceleration": 91.16,
        "rotation_down": 50.39,
        "downward_expansion": 34.45
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        16.812,
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        19.171175,
        18.022646
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 18.200001,
    "trend_reference": 16.695245,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.090131,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 12.472944,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.459158,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 24.370112,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.251719,
    "excess_performance": 0.294923,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.090131,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.219181,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.459158,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.058578,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.243701,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.044306,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.251719,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.847538,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 363742521,
      "relative_activity": 1.181988,
      "balance": 0.847538,
      "dry_up": 1.24427,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 5
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.21729,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.897403,
      "from_high_reference": -0.385135,
      "from_low_reference": 0.723485
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 16.695245,
      "fair_value_reference": 12.472944,
      "structural_low": 11.4,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 15,
        "median_return": 0.000742,
        "positive_rate": 0.533333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.533333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.027411,
        "regime_survival": 0.533333,
        "best_return": 0.222128,
        "worst_return": -0.227273,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": -0.063016,
        "positive_rate": 0.428571,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.428571,
        "median_excess_return": -0.079437,
        "regime_survival": 0.142857,
        "best_return": 0.405786,
        "worst_return": -0.214427,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.056683,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
        "median_excess_return": 0.010436,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.168658,
        "worst_return": -0.330833,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.038158,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.061627,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.091078,
        "worst_return": -0.12154,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2025-03-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.019395,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-04-04",
        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.003626,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-25",
        "end": "2025-07-18",
        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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      {
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 284174475.9,
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        "fair_value": 12.411518,
        "relative_strength": 10.905068,
        "stage": 3,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 15.03,
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        "typical_volume": 295358112.55,
        "trend": 16.501912,
        "fair_value": 12.432166,
        "relative_strength": 6.301991,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "direction": 4.26173,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 18.200001,
        "volume": 363742521,
        "typical_volume": 307738043.4,
        "trend": 16.695245,
        "fair_value": 12.472944,
        "relative_strength": 24.370112,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "direction": 13.16918,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}