{ "ticker": { "uuid": "0ecbad02-5d32-4fd2-ab26-8bc2b8e6eda9", "symbol": "OMAB", "name": "Grupo Aeroportuario del Centro Norte SAB de CV", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4c", "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch", "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch", "confidence": 49.851, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -18.186, "architecture_energy": 11.396, "architecture_maturity": 22.808, "architecture_confidence": 61.434, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 55.51, "rotation_up": 20.28, "upward_expansion": 16.13, "deceleration": 57.48, "rotation_down": 37.49, "downward_expansion": 59.13 }, "activity_lines": [ 107.25, 107.791091, 106.577311, 107.60477 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 110.44, "trend_reference": 109.51414, "distance_from_trend": 0.008454, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 82.723157, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.335055, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -9.126698, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.087471, "excess_performance": -0.274925, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.008454, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.011048, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.335055, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.028198, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.091267, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.076318, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.087471, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.615972, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 328127, "relative_activity": 0.79209, "balance": 0.615972, "dry_up": 0.771884, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.062368, "annualized_volatility": 0.356047, "from_high_reference": -0.158518, "from_low_reference": 0.215056 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 109.51414, "fair_value_reference": 82.723157, "structural_low": 95.69, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 17, "median_return": 0.017611, "positive_rate": 0.529412, "directional_follow_through": 0.529412, "median_excess_return": 0.008512, "regime_survival": 0.529412, "best_return": 0.199141, "worst_return": -0.132493, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.106171, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.100363, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.227689, "worst_return": -0.053445, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.085742, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.030976, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.199986, "worst_return": -0.040695, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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363874, "typical_volume": 454234.45, "trend": 109.598111, "fair_value": 81.952457, "relative_strength": -12.591896, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 12.493362, "energy": 23.811269, "activity_lines": [ 110.190667, 106.956337, 106.740943, 108.377145 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 105.31, "volume": 397433, "typical_volume": 440053.35, "trend": 109.612864, "fair_value": 82.140842, "relative_strength": -10.725013, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -14.16567, "energy": 15.790577, "activity_lines": [ 108.792, 107.013633, 106.531322, 108.100492 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 103.43, "volume": 277727, "typical_volume": 424885.1, "trend": 109.40388, "fair_value": 82.302811, "relative_strength": -10.594576, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -36.045813, "energy": 14.947546, "activity_lines": [ 106.530667, 106.719119, 106.206752, 107.701598 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 106.9, "volume": 275739, "typical_volume": 416838.7, "trend": 109.436956, "fair_value": 82.504882, "relative_strength": -7.827103, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -30.428879, "energy": 17.822071, "activity_lines": [ 106.130667, 106.992909, 106.233485, 107.540057 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 110.44, "volume": 328127, "typical_volume": 414254.6, "trend": 109.51414, "fair_value": 82.723157, "relative_strength": -9.126698, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -18.18624, "energy": 11.395657, "activity_lines": [ 107.25, 107.791091, 106.577311, 107.60477 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }