{ "ticker": { "uuid": "0ecef17f-d4ff-4dd4-bfa9-5469a3649669", "symbol": "DNG", "name": "Dynacor Group Inc.", "exchange": "TOR", "country": "CA", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 62.359, "architecture_energy": 42.01, "architecture_maturity": 15.115, "architecture_confidence": 86.708, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 32.81, "rotation_up": 51.9, "upward_expansion": 75.04, "deceleration": 56.32, "rotation_down": 20.3, "downward_expansion": 11.04 }, "activity_lines": [ 6.347333, 6.266659, 6.236939, 6.174898 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 6.68, "trend_reference": 6.134433, "distance_from_trend": 0.088935, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 4.847654, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.377986, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 7.780344, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.115472, "excess_performance": -0.004949, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.088935, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.075857, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.377986, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.033788, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.077803, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.00828, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.115472, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.940556, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 352800, "relative_activity": 1.011787, "balance": 2.940556, "dry_up": 0.815337, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.06031, "annualized_volatility": 0.371287, "from_high_reference": -0.048383, "from_low_reference": 0.616662 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 6.134433, "fair_value_reference": 4.847654, "structural_low": 4.888916, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 17, "median_return": 0.014333, "positive_rate": 0.647059, "directional_follow_through": 0.647059, "median_excess_return": -0.003063, "regime_survival": 0.705882, "best_return": 0.238187, "worst_return": -0.158539, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.066076, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": 0.009482, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.354087, "worst_return": -0.150797, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.051787, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.03976, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.399086, "worst_return": -0.127175, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-08-09", "end": "2024-10-18", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.142498, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-10-25", "end": "2025-02-14", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.0091, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-02-21", "end": "2025-02-28", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.001811, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-03-07", "end": "2025-04-04", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.184391, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-04-11", "end": "2025-07-25", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.056261, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-08-01", "end": "2025-12-19", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.19519, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-12-26", "end": "2026-03-20", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.094064, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-03-27", "end": "2026-04-24", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.087255, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-05-01", "end": "2026-07-10", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.004108, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-07-17", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.089723, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 2.851223, "volume": 128700, "typical_volume": 110240.0, "trend": 2.751482, "fair_value": 2.383784, "relative_strength": 7.70706, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", 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"typical_volume": 372860.0, "trend": 6.069953, "fair_value": 4.778511, "relative_strength": 2.237174, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 21.368559, "energy": 16.418392, "activity_lines": [ 6.093819, 6.189258, 6.150499, 6.121209 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 6.25, "volume": 198000, "typical_volume": 369875.0, "trend": 6.093273, "fair_value": 4.800652, "relative_strength": 3.879052, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 27.052027, "energy": 14.282305, "activity_lines": [ 6.145916, 6.194372, 6.169222, 6.132825 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 6.18, "volume": 232500, "typical_volume": 361730.0, "trend": 6.114589, "fair_value": 4.82258, "relative_strength": 3.041034, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 25.027443, "energy": 10.076187, "activity_lines": [ 6.165753, 6.18617, 6.180757, 6.13842 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 6.68, "volume": 352800, "typical_volume": 348690.0, "trend": 6.134433, "fair_value": 4.847654, "relative_strength": 7.780344, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.359308, "energy": 42.010447, "activity_lines": [ 6.347333, 6.266659, 6.236939, 6.174898 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }