{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "0ee049e6-18ee-4f15-9375-50f1a011375d",
    "symbol": "TOKYOPLAST",
    "name": "Tokyo Plast International Limited",
    "exchange": "NSI",
    "country": "IN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^NSEI",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -47.554,
    "architecture_energy": 58.093,
    "architecture_maturity": 8.255,
    "architecture_confidence": 76.619,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 29.82,
        "rotation_up": 10.09,
        "upward_expansion": 21.66,
        "deceleration": 40.61,
        "rotation_down": 67.61,
        "downward_expansion": 80.66
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        79.903334,
        81.958183,
        84.008144,
        83.747291
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 81.0,
    "trend_reference": 85.549668,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.053182,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 111.847436,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.275799,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -18.570909,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.186175,
    "excess_performance": -0.142466,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.053182,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.111692,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.275799,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.042898,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.185709,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.015636,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.186175,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.058379,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 3518,
      "relative_activity": 0.055592,
      "balance": 1.058379,
      "dry_up": 0.098225,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.06585,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.687544,
      "from_high_reference": -0.42492,
      "from_low_reference": 0.503899
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 85.549668,
      "fair_value_reference": 111.847436,
      "structural_low": 53.860001,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 21,
        "median_return": 0.007467,
        "positive_rate": 0.571429,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.428571,
        "median_excess_return": -0.017255,
        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
        "best_return": 0.527023,
        "worst_return": -0.224354,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 9,
        "median_return": 0.07994,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
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        "best_return": 0.246769,
        "worst_return": -0.32368,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.075272,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
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        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
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        "worst_return": -0.261227,
        "sufficient": true
      },
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
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        "worst_return": -0.004022,
        "sufficient": false
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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      },
      {
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "end": "2025-03-28",
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        "return": 0.115906,
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      {
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -27.304151,
        "energy": 26.090672,
        "activity_lines": [
          87.972001,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 91.980003,
        "volume": 15154,
        "typical_volume": 73938.65,
        "trend": 101.432,
        "fair_value": 112.931346,
        "relative_strength": -15.14114,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
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        "energy": 29.369747,
        "activity_lines": [
          91.724002,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 86.599998,
        "volume": 22795,
        "typical_volume": 73899.5,
        "trend": 100.261667,
        "fair_value": 112.892884,
        "relative_strength": -20.134503,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -18.139714,
        "energy": 27.562589,
        "activity_lines": [
          91.594001,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 87.75,
        "volume": 8254,
        "typical_volume": 73835.2,
        "trend": 98.908333,
        "fair_value": 112.867884,
        "relative_strength": -16.662645,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -11.068945,
        "energy": 15.152207,
        "activity_lines": [
          90.507334,
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          85.19862,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 84.25,
        "volume": 5551,
        "typical_volume": 73882.15,
        "trend": 97.482,
        "fair_value": 112.805384,
        "relative_strength": -19.534464,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -17.759995,
        "energy": 9.987175,
        "activity_lines": [
          87.391333,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 88.010002,
        "volume": 6375,
        "typical_volume": 73691.65,
        "trend": 96.306333,
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        "relative_strength": -14.645395,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -27.784834,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 85.0,
        "volume": 1248,
        "typical_volume": 73302.65,
        "trend": 95.015,
        "fair_value": 112.673718,
        "relative_strength": -16.101215,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -29.493568,
        "energy": 17.41385,
        "activity_lines": [
          86.126,
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          84.609048,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 84.370003,
        "volume": 988,
        "typical_volume": 72781.7,
        "trend": 93.720334,
        "fair_value": 112.57641,
        "relative_strength": -16.928531,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
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        "energy": 18.784986,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 86.290001,
        "volume": 8042,
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        "trend": 92.562667,
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        "relative_strength": -15.824041,
        "stage": 4,
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        "energy": 15.615843,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 83.160004,
        "volume": 0,
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        "trend": 91.363667,
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        "relative_strength": -18.373579,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -37.195804,
        "energy": 20.035678,
        "activity_lines": [
          84.805336,
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          84.500335,
          86.406453
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 89.080002,
        "volume": 7260,
        "typical_volume": 71636.3,
        "trend": 90.490334,
        "fair_value": 112.427564,
        "relative_strength": -12.742737,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -21.435206,
        "energy": 11.338585,
        "activity_lines": [
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          85.035144,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 85.0,
        "volume": 2471,
        "typical_volume": 68491.05,
        "trend": 89.566001,
        "fair_value": 112.371154,
        "relative_strength": -15.912453,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -21.581675,
        "energy": 9.938532,
        "activity_lines": [
          85.850002,
          85.802547,
          85.228477,
          85.904904
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 81.050003,
        "volume": 9773,
        "typical_volume": 67668.5,
        "trend": 88.607334,
        "fair_value": 112.216346,
        "relative_strength": -19.547327,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -55.23963,
        "energy": 25.652833,
        "activity_lines": [
          84.340002,
          84.911456,
          85.070239,
          85.355485
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 80.150002,
        "volume": 4260,
        "typical_volume": 66680.95,
        "trend": 87.576001,
        "fair_value": 112.08141,
        "relative_strength": -18.033135,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -49.966078,
        "energy": 35.199696,
        "activity_lines": [
          82.751335,
          83.957638,
          84.824001,
          84.809851
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 76.5,
        "volume": 7313,
        "typical_volume": 64071.05,
        "trend": 86.393668,
        "fair_value": 111.955769,
        "relative_strength": -23.087285,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -62.955878,
        "energy": 60.011754,
        "activity_lines": [
          80.355335,
          82.478365,
          84.211716,
          84.09527
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 81.0,
        "volume": 3518,
        "typical_volume": 63283.05,
        "trend": 85.549668,
        "fair_value": 111.847436,
        "relative_strength": -18.570909,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -47.553727,
        "energy": 58.092886,
        "activity_lines": [
          79.903334,
          81.958183,
          84.008144,
          83.747291
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}