{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "0ee93f11-fef6-4552-b64e-b0c37688a92f",
    "symbol": "QSPT",
    "name": "FT VEST NASDAQ-100 BUFFER ETF - SEPTEMBER",
    "exchange": "CBOE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 72.162,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 80.038,
    "architecture_energy": 58.29,
    "architecture_maturity": 80.623,
    "architecture_confidence": 60.945,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 22.67,
        "rotation_up": 49.37,
        "upward_expansion": 80.63,
        "deceleration": 70.95,
        "rotation_down": 29.22,
        "downward_expansion": 9.63
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        34.726013,
        34.64474,
        34.385639,
        33.771262
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 35.27,
    "trend_reference": 33.03441,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.067675,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 27.976863,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.260685,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -2.434743,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.115081,
    "excess_performance": -0.010544,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.067675,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.032052,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.260685,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.013282,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.024347,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.008096,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.115081,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.259209,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 43179,
      "relative_activity": 0.379509,
      "balance": 1.259209,
      "dry_up": 0.623439,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.015334,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.103089,
      "from_high_reference": -0.000363,
      "from_low_reference": 0.180388
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 33.03441,
      "fair_value_reference": 27.976863,
      "structural_low": 29.88,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 37,
        "median_return": 0.010354,
        "positive_rate": 0.72973,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.72973,
        "median_excess_return": -0.003897,
        "regime_survival": 0.891892,
        "best_return": 0.055519,
        "worst_return": -0.057433,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 12,
        "median_return": 0.035071,
        "positive_rate": 0.833333,
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        "worst_return": -0.051213,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
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        "regime_survival": 0.833333,
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        "worst_return": -0.009174,
        "sufficient": true
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "sufficient": false
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "fair_value": 27.642608,
        "relative_strength": -1.484244,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 159728.05,
        "trend": 32.752607,
        "fair_value": 27.725112,
        "relative_strength": -1.09241,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.413288,
        "energy": 59.694219,
        "activity_lines": [
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          34.025255,
          33.415852
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 34.27,
        "volume": 80510,
        "typical_volume": 159634.1,
        "trend": 32.831607,
        "fair_value": 27.805561,
        "relative_strength": -0.998871,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 51.483782,
        "energy": 50.831795,
        "activity_lines": [
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          34.121944,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 34.48,
        "volume": 98226,
        "typical_volume": 151882.7,
        "trend": 32.926933,
        "fair_value": 27.888478,
        "relative_strength": -1.376282,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 48.486865,
        "energy": 45.370505,
        "activity_lines": [
          34.478247,
          34.508176,
          34.224252,
          33.620096
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 35.27,
        "volume": 43179,
        "typical_volume": 113775.85,
        "trend": 33.03441,
        "fair_value": 27.976863,
        "relative_strength": -2.434743,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 80.037681,
        "energy": 58.289829,
        "activity_lines": [
          34.726013,
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          33.771262
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}