{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "0efa2348-170b-45a9-ad9c-0532287aa2a2",
    "symbol": "MIN",
    "name": "MFS Intermediate Income Trust",
    "exchange": "NYSE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch",
    "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch",
    "confidence": 61.359,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -36.326,
    "architecture_energy": 18.152,
    "architecture_maturity": 9.462,
    "architecture_confidence": 90.512,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 47.98,
        "rotation_up": 26.67,
        "upward_expansion": 8.1,
        "deceleration": 41.67,
        "rotation_down": 40.93,
        "downward_expansion": 72.1
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        2.424595,
        2.427213,
        2.428539,
        2.433628
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Stable",
      "price_acceptance": 0.0
    },
    "latest_close": 2.44,
    "trend_reference": 2.447948,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.003247,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 2.340996,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.042292,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -12.007735,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.025168,
    "excess_performance": -0.150793,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.003247,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.009842,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.042292,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.007981,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.120077,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.006656,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.025168,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.294098,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 938131,
      "relative_activity": 0.953302,
      "balance": 1.294098,
      "dry_up": 0.809696,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.018309,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.08415,
      "from_high_reference": -0.040152,
      "from_low_reference": 0.023187
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 2.447948,
      "fair_value_reference": 2.340996,
      "structural_low": 2.384706,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 14,
        "median_return": 0.003971,
        "positive_rate": 0.714286,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.714286,
        "median_excess_return": 0.002061,
        "regime_survival": 0.428571,
        "best_return": 0.040162,
        "worst_return": -0.04866,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": 0.012577,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": -0.043569,
        "regime_survival": 0.125,
        "best_return": 0.065765,
        "worst_return": -0.082548,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.01266,
        "positive_rate": 0.8,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.8,
        "median_excess_return": -0.043762,
        "regime_survival": 0.2,
        "best_return": 0.069558,
        "worst_return": -0.133507,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.063169,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.030731,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.121909,
        "worst_return": -0.119701,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-03-08",
        "end": "2024-04-19",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.022402,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-04-26",
        "end": "2024-05-10",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.004615,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-05-17",
        "end": "2024-06-28",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.026899,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2024-07-05",
        "end": "2024-07-19",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.009293,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-07-26",
        "end": "2024-10-18",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.029999,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-10-25",
        "end": "2025-02-07",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.022439,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-02-14",
        "end": "2025-04-11",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.002251,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-04-18",
        "end": "2025-05-02",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.013233,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-05-09",
        "end": "2025-10-17",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.025082,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-10-24",
        "end": "2026-01-09",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.026367,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-01-16",
        "end": "2026-02-27",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.003289,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-03-06",
        "end": "2026-03-20",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.020182,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2026-03-27",
        "end": "2026-07-10",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.01889,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-07-17",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.003914,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
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        "typical_volume": 1145380.05,
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        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-08-25",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
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      {
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      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "stage": 4,
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        "energy": 8.695867,
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          2.439008,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "volume": 928955,
        "typical_volume": 1237783.45,
        "trend": 2.454001,
        "fair_value": 2.337179,
        "relative_strength": -10.205424,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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        "energy": 21.085457,
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          2.427769,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 2.41,
        "volume": 711768,
        "typical_volume": 1130553.6,
        "trend": 2.451032,
        "fair_value": 2.339066,
        "relative_strength": -10.432709,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -48.928791,
        "energy": 27.811844,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.420523,
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          2.427124,
          2.43434
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 2.44,
        "volume": 938131,
        "typical_volume": 984086.05,
        "trend": 2.447948,
        "fair_value": 2.340996,
        "relative_strength": -12.007735,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -36.32576,
        "energy": 18.151578,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.424595,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}