{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "0f01989c-eaec-4ccb-9ae2-616d6ec38172",
    "symbol": "ZLB",
    "name": "BMO Low Volatility Canadian Equity ETF",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 68.25,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 60.9,
    "architecture_energy": 52.158,
    "architecture_maturity": 52.283,
    "architecture_confidence": 50.41,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 19.52,
        "rotation_up": 51.42,
        "upward_expansion": 79.5,
        "deceleration": 71.03,
        "rotation_down": 24.54,
        "downward_expansion": 8.5
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        60.970111,
        60.357017
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 61.75,
    "trend_reference": 59.600498,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.036065,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 50.309698,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.227398,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -6.790439,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.067823,
    "excess_performance": -0.052598,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.036065,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.014591,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.227398,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.016935,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.067904,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.019818,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.067823,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.411995,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 184900,
      "relative_activity": 1.082331,
      "balance": 0.411995,
      "dry_up": 1.318085,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 5
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.016031,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.088933,
      "from_high_reference": -0.022479,
      "from_low_reference": 0.121088
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 59.600498,
      "fair_value_reference": 50.309698,
      "structural_low": 56.982035,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 43,
        "median_return": 0.009053,
        "positive_rate": 0.674419,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.674419,
        "median_excess_return": -0.003333,
        "regime_survival": 0.813953,
        "best_return": 0.059797,
        "worst_return": -0.042775,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "positive_rate": 0.692308,
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        "worst_return": -0.033597,
        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.043903,
        "positive_rate": 0.857143,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.857143,
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        "worst_return": -0.01224,
        "sufficient": true
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
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        "worst_return": 0.027164,
        "sufficient": false
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        "start": "2023-09-01",
        "end": "2023-12-01",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "active": false
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
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        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "typical_volume": 283850.45,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 285055.0,
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        "fair_value": 48.812784,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 273440.0,
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        "fair_value": 48.935088,
        "relative_strength": -8.483313,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 60.089157,
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        "trend": 58.831538,
        "fair_value": 49.065055,
        "relative_strength": -6.524512,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 49.647425,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 60.66655,
        "volume": 36200,
        "typical_volume": 235070.0,
        "trend": 58.887432,
        "fair_value": 49.1986,
        "relative_strength": -6.7641,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 70.649242,
        "energy": 68.772981,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 62.120003,
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        "typical_volume": 194540.0,
        "trend": 59.026239,
        "fair_value": 49.476836,
        "relative_strength": -4.123323,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 88.180605,
        "energy": 89.131824,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 61.779999,
        "volume": 23200,
        "typical_volume": 179740.0,
        "trend": 59.107909,
        "fair_value": 49.616951,
        "relative_strength": -5.10953,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "direction": 77.213128,
        "energy": 90.181534,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 61.73,
        "volume": 327500,
        "typical_volume": 185780.0,
        "trend": 59.189974,
        "fair_value": 49.752553,
        "relative_strength": -5.067294,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 70.701186,
        "energy": 87.890283,
        "activity_lines": [
          61.661738,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 62.400002,
        "volume": 215600,
        "typical_volume": 183225.0,
        "trend": 59.279255,
        "fair_value": 49.890448,
        "relative_strength": -3.677673,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 80.234798,
        "energy": 90.813054,
        "activity_lines": [
          61.970985,
          61.37019,
          60.401458,
          59.877657
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 61.950001,
        "volume": 282100,
        "typical_volume": 179420.0,
        "trend": 59.345977,
        "fair_value": 50.028462,
        "relative_strength": -4.386422,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.50961,
        "energy": 76.177176,
        "activity_lines": [
          62.014668,
          61.588015,
          60.615329,
          60.049963
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 61.84,
        "volume": 218100,
        "typical_volume": 176985.0,
        "trend": 59.484689,
        "fair_value": 50.170651,
        "relative_strength": -3.892451,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.848584,
        "energy": 58.071989,
        "activity_lines": [
          61.962667,
          61.719607,
          60.804355,
          60.210868
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 61.75,
        "volume": 184900,
        "typical_volume": 170835.0,
        "trend": 59.600498,
        "fair_value": 50.309698,
        "relative_strength": -6.790439,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 60.900077,
        "energy": 52.158087,
        "activity_lines": [
          61.899334,
          61.797028,
          60.970111,
          60.357017
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}