{ "ticker": { "uuid": "0f035448-68e1-468f-89f7-d70f01fbaf8d", "symbol": "002474", "name": "Fujian Rongji Software Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -51.16, "architecture_energy": 43.904, "architecture_maturity": 81.871, "architecture_confidence": 67.178, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 17.04, "rotation_up": 25.72, "upward_expansion": 17.97, "deceleration": 66.59, "rotation_down": 48.07, "downward_expansion": 70.3 }, "activity_lines": [ 6.036667, 6.009818, 6.492714, 6.90729 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 6.4, "trend_reference": 7.584333, "distance_from_trend": -0.156155, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 6.729808, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.049007, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -21.650801, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.270239, "excess_performance": -0.277639, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.156155, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.136214, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.049007, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.268065, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.216508, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.071724, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.270239, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.417662, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 141015767, "relative_activity": 1.423249, "balance": 0.417662, "dry_up": 1.219989, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.102404, "annualized_volatility": 0.471342, "from_high_reference": -0.533187, "from_low_reference": 0.198502 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 7.584333, "fair_value_reference": 6.729808, "structural_low": 5.34, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 27, "median_return": -0.012346, "positive_rate": 0.481481, "directional_follow_through": 0.518519, "median_excess_return": 0.027095, "regime_survival": 0.851852, "best_return": 0.366589, "worst_return": -0.274143, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.004969, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.065867, "regime_survival": 0.7, "best_return": 0.891156, "worst_return": -0.269481, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.020305, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.212171, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.853333, "worst_return": -0.356223, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"typical_volume": 97830913.8, "trend": 7.818333, "fair_value": 6.754231, "relative_strength": -29.649734, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.351164, "energy": 76.168804, "activity_lines": [ 5.666667, 5.997273, 6.622619, 7.094903 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 6.21, "volume": 151768377, "typical_volume": 97242694.9, "trend": 7.699667, "fair_value": 6.742436, "relative_strength": -20.389302, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.723841, "energy": 56.684494, "activity_lines": [ 5.838, 5.970364, 6.543857, 6.99114 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 6.4, "volume": 141015767, "typical_volume": 99080174.3, "trend": 7.584333, "fair_value": 6.729808, "relative_strength": -21.650801, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -51.160192, "energy": 43.904036, "activity_lines": [ 6.036667, 6.009818, 6.492714, 6.90729 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }