{ "ticker": { "uuid": "0f14221f-22dd-43f0-86b2-00195c9bc4a0", "symbol": "YMAR", "name": "FT VEST INTERNATIONAL EQUITY MODERATE BUFFER ETF - MARCH", "exchange": "CBOE", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 57.342, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 81.487, "architecture_energy": 70.101, "architecture_maturity": 35.488, "architecture_confidence": 76.312, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 8.7, "rotation_up": 68.26, "upward_expansion": 89.02, "deceleration": 46.64, "rotation_down": 18.77, "downward_expansion": 13.35 }, "activity_lines": [ 28.97056, 28.827942, 28.620551, 28.373995 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 29.2907, "trend_reference": 28.067013, "distance_from_trend": 0.043599, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 24.503621, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.195362, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -4.622593, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.064342, "excess_performance": -0.061283, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.043599, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.024107, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.195362, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.005787, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.046226, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.003238, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.064342, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.851494, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 21692, "relative_activity": 0.195174, "balance": 1.851494, "dry_up": 0.202953, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.01317, "annualized_volatility": 0.07059, "from_high_reference": -0.00168, "from_low_reference": 0.141493 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 28.067013, "fair_value_reference": 24.503621, "structural_low": 26.82, "invalidation": "A 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28.053348 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 28.75, "volume": 19607, "typical_volume": 136667.2, "trend": 27.823947, "fair_value": 24.310466, "relative_strength": -4.560193, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.889426, "energy": 63.675744, "activity_lines": [ 28.67908, 28.571596, 28.336527, 28.117335 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 28.63, "volume": 34291, "typical_volume": 136322.9, "trend": 27.881817, "fair_value": 24.356043, "relative_strength": -3.353483, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.556499, "energy": 50.784704, "activity_lines": [ 28.672013, 28.596415, 28.389971, 28.169338 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 28.7063, "volume": 17181, "typical_volume": 133676.4, "trend": 27.93701, "fair_value": 24.401083, "relative_strength": -2.430083, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.706676, "energy": 50.869587, "activity_lines": [ 28.68604, 28.631105, 28.44623, 28.222531 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 28.994, "volume": 17062, "typical_volume": 130616.95, "trend": 27.99999, "fair_value": 24.451301, "relative_strength": -2.415968, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 71.959682, "energy": 55.48155, "activity_lines": [ 28.795293, 28.707769, 28.523352, 28.290723 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 29.2907, "volume": 21692, "typical_volume": 111141.65, "trend": 28.067013, "fair_value": 24.503621, "relative_strength": -4.622593, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 81.487174, "energy": 70.101112, "activity_lines": [ 28.97056, 28.827942, 28.620551, 28.373995 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }