{ "ticker": { "uuid": "0f1556e0-232e-418a-98de-ab7ad1cd0353", "symbol": "2897", "name": "O-Bank Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 92.388, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 60.568, "architecture_energy": 48.138, "architecture_maturity": 26.544, "architecture_confidence": 70.208, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 12.37, "rotation_up": 58.58, "upward_expansion": 79.75, "deceleration": 60.37, "rotation_down": 19.61, "downward_expansion": 6.42 }, "activity_lines": [ 10.118997, 10.078862, 9.934853, 9.808218 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 10.05, "trend_reference": 9.584774, "distance_from_trend": 0.048538, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 8.84463, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.136283, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -21.537412, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.136951, "excess_performance": -0.304421, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.048538, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.050436, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.136283, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.046215, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.215374, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.060196, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.136951, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.252301, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 14663290, "relative_activity": 0.688304, "balance": 2.252301, "dry_up": 1.268792, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.026283, "annualized_volatility": 0.108443, "from_high_reference": -0.033654, "from_low_reference": 0.184059 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 9.584774, "fair_value_reference": 8.84463, "structural_low": 8.820418, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 33, "median_return": 0.016495, "positive_rate": 0.575758, "directional_follow_through": 0.575758, "median_excess_return": -0.004461, "regime_survival": 0.818182, "best_return": 0.140684, "worst_return": -0.135542, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": 0.057064, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.013567, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.111111, "worst_return": -0.070128, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.071266, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.055925, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.213675, "worst_return": -0.043699, 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8.824863, "relative_strength": -16.586913, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 74.521175, "energy": 54.136089, "activity_lines": [ 10.105829, 10.037035, 9.873364, 9.732772 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 10.15, "volume": 18439163, "typical_volume": 21981364.15, "trend": 9.539986, "fair_value": 8.834625, "relative_strength": -18.707596, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.476708, "energy": 49.387705, "activity_lines": [ 10.133162, 10.07377, 9.910723, 9.775314 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 10.05, "volume": 14663290, "typical_volume": 21303506.5, "trend": 9.584774, "fair_value": 8.84463, "relative_strength": -21.537412, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.568486, "energy": 48.137957, "activity_lines": [ 10.118997, 10.078862, 9.934853, 9.808218 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }