{ "ticker": { "uuid": "0f406ab2-1493-4b18-9b55-3a9ded99f6aa", "symbol": "SPLPETRO", "name": "Supreme Petrochem Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 68.497, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 10.94, "architecture_energy": 5.637, "architecture_maturity": 31.634, "architecture_confidence": 88.9, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 59.35, "rotation_up": 29.38, "upward_expansion": 48.24, "deceleration": 78.64, "rotation_down": 24.59, "downward_expansion": 26.24 }, "activity_lines": [ 713.200879, 716.449343, 718.03428, 713.415772 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 701.450012, "trend_reference": 691.048118, "distance_from_trend": 0.015052, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 679.602569, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.032147, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 0.054258, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.176239, "excess_performance": 0.219948, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.015052, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.039496, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.032147, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.098996, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.000543, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.059727, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.176239, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.89619, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 278040, "relative_activity": 0.374435, "balance": 0.89619, "dry_up": 1.781706, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.065644, "annualized_volatility": 0.369072, "from_high_reference": -0.281118, "from_low_reference": 0.517305 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 691.048118, "fair_value_reference": 679.602569, "structural_low": 596.349976, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 20, "median_return": 0.017618, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.008885, "regime_survival": 0.7, "best_return": 0.242, "worst_return": -0.144599, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.072171, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": 0.106978, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 0.322126, "worst_return": -0.240354, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.198756, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": 0.105615, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.456163, "worst_return": -0.051891, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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"relative_strength": 2.363332, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 31.611286, "energy": 14.713903, "activity_lines": [ 718.805493, 718.438312, 720.191866, 712.464897 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 701.450012, "volume": 278040, "typical_volume": 742559.75, "trend": 691.048118, "fair_value": 679.602569, "relative_strength": 0.054258, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 10.940158, "energy": 5.636702, "activity_lines": [ 713.200879, 716.449343, 718.03428, 713.415772 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }