{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "0f41e805-513c-48c3-8bf5-75bb9b4bb272",
    "symbol": "EMIL-B",
    "name": "Fastighetsbolaget Emilshus AB (publ)",
    "exchange": "STO",
    "country": "SE",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^OMX",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3C \u00b7 Breakdown watch",
    "transition": "stage_3_to_4_watch",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 \u2192 4 watch",
    "confidence": 62.377,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_down",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down",
    "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": -26.734,
    "architecture_energy": 47.367,
    "architecture_maturity": 5.114,
    "architecture_confidence": 73.314,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 27.62,
        "rotation_up": 17.53,
        "upward_expansion": 26.29,
        "deceleration": 47.58,
        "rotation_down": 64.57,
        "downward_expansion": 51.29
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        53.725505
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 51.400002,
    "trend_reference": 53.481788,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.038925,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 42.587905,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.206915,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -12.410023,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.034637,
    "excess_performance": -0.096131,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.038925,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.013882,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.206915,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.188076,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.1241,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.126042,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.034637,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.117601,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
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      "relative_activity": 0.485235,
      "balance": 2.117601,
      "dry_up": 0.177527,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.047142,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.276659,
      "from_high_reference": -0.13468,
      "from_low_reference": 0.123894
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 53.481788,
      "fair_value_reference": 42.587905,
      "structural_low": 45.920663,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 0,
        "median_return": null,
        "positive_rate": null,
        "directional_follow_through": null,
        "median_excess_return": null,
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        "worst_return": null,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "sufficient": false
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "end": "2024-05-31",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-02-14",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-03-14",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-06-20",
        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
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      },
      {
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": true
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          53.506654,
          53.068268
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 56.0,
        "volume": 127461,
        "typical_volume": 753059.0,
        "trend": 52.754118,
        "fair_value": 40.486397,
        "relative_strength": -1.967511,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 57.396337,
        "energy": 39.879891,
        "activity_lines": [
          55.580001,
          54.822455,
          53.775998,
          53.279236
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 57.0,
        "volume": 614588,
        "typical_volume": 764449.65,
        "trend": 52.749497,
        "fair_value": 40.705846,
        "relative_strength": 0.014327,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 62.100758,
        "energy": 48.623428,
        "activity_lines": [
          56.186667,
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          54.130284,
          53.553163
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 54.099998,
        "volume": 4204,
        "typical_volume": 729388.75,
        "trend": 52.805022,
        "fair_value": 40.904243,
        "relative_strength": -4.342784,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 52.616746,
        "energy": 31.681048,
        "activity_lines": [
          55.68,
          55.416363,
          54.189552,
          53.640293
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 53.700001,
        "volume": 20818,
        "typical_volume": 651901.65,
        "trend": 52.915819,
        "fair_value": 41.09946,
        "relative_strength": -4.834239,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 39.390621,
        "energy": 20.980016,
        "activity_lines": [
          54.953333,
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          53.698033
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 53.700001,
        "volume": 207820,
        "typical_volume": 539359.95,
        "trend": 53.046217,
        "fair_value": 41.300219,
        "relative_strength": -6.550326,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 32.502188,
        "energy": 14.79643,
        "activity_lines": [
          54.373334,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 54.0,
        "volume": 40207,
        "typical_volume": 407626.95,
        "trend": 53.180082,
        "fair_value": 41.499822,
        "relative_strength": -4.981092,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 27.486483,
        "energy": 17.893672,
        "activity_lines": [
          54.073334,
          54.678182,
          54.241699,
          53.81016
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 56.400002,
        "volume": 14137,
        "typical_volume": 372318.7,
        "trend": 53.367811,
        "fair_value": 41.702495,
        "relative_strength": -3.36806,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 41.801843,
        "energy": 19.233852,
        "activity_lines": [
          54.706668,
          54.961819,
          54.49669,
          54.017897
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 54.599998,
        "volume": 33849,
        "typical_volume": 362337.0,
        "trend": 53.472672,
        "fair_value": 41.899786,
        "relative_strength": -4.182287,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 30.313163,
        "energy": 13.616132,
        "activity_lines": [
          54.78,
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          54.561926,
          54.097393
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 53.099998,
        "volume": 27099,
        "typical_volume": 357112.85,
        "trend": 53.553668,
        "fair_value": 42.085,
        "relative_strength": -5.62783,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 18.593591,
        "energy": 8.233548,
        "activity_lines": [
          54.319999,
          54.510909,
          54.47879,
          54.073349
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 52.0,
        "volume": 21357,
        "typical_volume": 349807.25,
        "trend": 53.601264,
        "fair_value": 42.252078,
        "relative_strength": -8.851545,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -19.870696,
        "energy": 13.295784,
        "activity_lines": [
          53.533333,
          53.983636,
          54.297235,
          53.973113
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 51.900002,
        "volume": 22814,
        "typical_volume": 318457.45,
        "trend": 53.536664,
        "fair_value": 42.421594,
        "relative_strength": -10.038268,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -21.805392,
        "energy": 30.562703,
        "activity_lines": [
          52.826667,
          53.518182,
          54.113024,
          53.863354
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 51.400002,
        "volume": 153788,
        "typical_volume": 316935.1,
        "trend": 53.481788,
        "fair_value": 42.587905,
        "relative_strength": -12.410023,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -26.733793,
        "energy": 47.36673,
        "activity_lines": [
          52.093334,
          53.036364,
          53.885238,
          53.725505
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}