{ "ticker": { "uuid": "0f542c0f-0ac1-458f-81a3-3f13ac000fc1", "symbol": "CRCT", "name": "Cricut Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 87.947, "architecture_energy": 80.121, "architecture_maturity": 22.0, "architecture_confidence": 76.632, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 18.6, "rotation_up": 75.08, "upward_expansion": 87.45, "deceleration": 47.7, "rotation_down": 9.02, "downward_expansion": 16.45 }, "activity_lines": [ 5.000667, 4.744796, 4.511278, 4.422522 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 5.84, "trend_reference": 4.363682, "distance_from_trend": 0.338319, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 4.858947, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.201906, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 6.711869, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.264069, "excess_performance": 0.076616, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.338319, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.017203, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.201906, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.374243, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.067119, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.355029, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.264069, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.362761, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 7305769, "relative_activity": 2.74638, "balance": 2.362761, "dry_up": 1.334372, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.078046, "annualized_volatility": 0.444022, "from_high_reference": -0.139947, "from_low_reference": 0.563588 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 4.363682, "fair_value_reference": 4.858947, "structural_low": 3.735, "invalidation": "A renewed 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"balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 36.28635, "energy": 41.75658, "activity_lines": [ 4.485309, 4.385003, 4.297808, 4.294769 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 4.46, "volume": 1918953, "typical_volume": 2500975.25, "trend": 4.331769, "fair_value": 4.889897, "relative_strength": -14.548836, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 23.601784, "energy": 26.707741, "activity_lines": [ 4.486321, 4.418085, 4.320139, 4.302014 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 4.69, "volume": 2182489, "typical_volume": 2461341.6, "trend": 4.330348, "fair_value": 4.870405, "relative_strength": -10.311802, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 34.323778, "energy": 36.993312, "activity_lines": [ 4.557303, 4.48335, 4.362423, 4.325125 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 5.84, "volume": 7305769, "typical_volume": 2660145.2, "trend": 4.363682, "fair_value": 4.858947, "relative_strength": 6.711869, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 87.946928, "energy": 80.120683, "activity_lines": [ 5.000667, 4.744796, 4.511278, 4.422522 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }