{ "ticker": { "uuid": "0f5d3063-d294-4f59-8ec6-a2fa1fed6797", "symbol": "MTO", "name": "Mitie Group plc", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 81.222, "architecture_energy": 70.769, "architecture_maturity": 26.921, "architecture_confidence": 62.149, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 22.62, "rotation_up": 79.09, "upward_expansion": 81.71, "deceleration": 64.55, "rotation_down": 13.33, "downward_expansion": 15.37 }, "activity_lines": [ 195.7011, 178.330424, 173.388206, 173.112631 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 206.2, "trend_reference": 172.8715, "distance_from_trend": 0.192793, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 132.296607, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.558619, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 15.637621, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.197445, "excess_performance": 0.14621, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.192793, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.011836, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.558619, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.171953, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.156376, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.112209, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.197445, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.069435, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 70015826, "relative_activity": 2.880989, "balance": 1.069435, "dry_up": 2.861613, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.055802, "annualized_volatility": 0.517908, "from_high_reference": -0.036449, "from_low_reference": 0.529798 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 172.8715, "fair_value_reference": 132.296607, "structural_low": 143.0, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.104043, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.100082, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.248696, "worst_return": -0.040609, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.261638, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.271446, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.319797, "worst_return": 0.203478, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.29349, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.23694, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.35491, "worst_return": 0.232069, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, 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49136450, "typical_volume": 21832086.6, "trend": 171.658167, "fair_value": 131.604462, "relative_strength": 16.814129, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 45.817906, "energy": 48.502927, "activity_lines": [ 184.479587, 171.082151, 170.000325, 170.884125 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 206.2, "volume": 70015826, "typical_volume": 24302707.65, "trend": 172.8715, "fair_value": 132.296607, "relative_strength": 15.637621, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "up", "direction": 81.222466, "energy": 70.768885, "activity_lines": [ 195.7011, 178.330424, 173.388206, 173.112631 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }