{ "ticker": { "uuid": "0f62fe64-6d59-4bc1-8097-bc51119d22e3", "symbol": "XSVN", "name": "BONDBLOXX ETF TRUST BLOOMBERG SEVEN YR TRGT DRTN US TRSY ETF", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 54.634, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -59.503, "architecture_energy": 61.001, "architecture_maturity": 24.878, "architecture_confidence": 86.806, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 18.19, "rotation_up": 12.03, "upward_expansion": 13.26, "deceleration": 38.28, "rotation_down": 67.89, "downward_expansion": 88.93 }, "activity_lines": [ 46.482609, 46.649822, 46.778322, 46.920121 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 46.58, "trend_reference": 47.09701, "distance_from_trend": -0.010978, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 44.921826, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.036912, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -11.965393, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.016398, "excess_performance": -0.142023, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.010978, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.003827, "read": "Falling" 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"down", "direction": -31.4187, "energy": 18.649857, "activity_lines": [ 47.028204, 46.932519, 47.026388, 47.131149 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 46.657134, "volume": 454305, "typical_volume": 300074.8, "trend": 47.204924, "fair_value": 44.822739, "relative_strength": -10.843586, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -46.475987, "energy": 20.509062, "activity_lines": [ 46.926288, 46.889075, 46.976941, 47.094803 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 46.741838, "volume": 267419, "typical_volume": 307482.5, "trend": 47.186792, "fair_value": 44.846509, "relative_strength": -9.017594, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -51.854252, "energy": 26.05821, "activity_lines": [ 46.851079, 46.867789, 46.941264, 47.064927 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 46.348212, "volume": 255192, "typical_volume": 308996.05, "trend": 47.152744, "fair_value": 44.869883, "relative_strength": -9.004796, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.990693, "energy": 55.317032, "activity_lines": [ 46.656425, 46.781995, 46.875571, 47.010825 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 46.288421, "volume": 354707, "typical_volume": 316696.55, "trend": 47.121586, "fair_value": 44.893632, "relative_strength": -9.772778, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.124345, "energy": 67.009008, "activity_lines": [ 46.485931, 46.686668, 46.810651, 46.955062 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 46.58, "volume": 168579, "typical_volume": 315216.75, "trend": 47.09701, "fair_value": 44.921826, "relative_strength": -11.965393, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.503484, "energy": 61.000815, "activity_lines": [ 46.482609, 46.649822, 46.778322, 46.920121 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }