{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "0f64c0d9-91da-464b-96dd-8f449b294637",
    "symbol": "TPHU",
    "name": "Amundi Index Solutions - Amundi Japan Topix UCITS ETF-C USD Hedged",
    "exchange": "PAR",
    "country": "FR",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FCHI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 75.678,
    "architecture_energy": 54.18,
    "architecture_maturity": 87.618,
    "architecture_confidence": 63.552,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 25.78,
        "rotation_up": 48.23,
        "upward_expansion": 75.0,
        "deceleration": 71.38,
        "rotation_down": 28.76,
        "downward_expansion": 13.0
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        204.39916,
        200.501869
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 211.710007,
    "trend_reference": 195.589186,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.082422,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 142.570875,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.484946,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 8.996419,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.118062,
    "excess_performance": 0.064751,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.082422,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.066514,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.484946,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.013825,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.089964,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.085297,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.118062,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.393916,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 2102,
      "relative_activity": 2.000476,
      "balance": 1.393916,
      "dry_up": 1.518201,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.023022,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.185401,
      "from_high_reference": 0.0,
      "from_low_reference": 0.411523
    },
    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 142.570875,
      "structural_low": 176.567398,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 44,
        "median_return": 0.026373,
        "positive_rate": 0.613636,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.613636,
        "median_excess_return": 0.016042,
        "regime_survival": 0.818182,
        "best_return": 0.084824,
        "worst_return": -0.081334,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "median_excess_return": 0.065511,
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        "worst_return": -0.046027,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "median_excess_return": 0.073136,
        "regime_survival": 0.625,
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        "worst_return": -0.131753,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.038445,
        "sufficient": false
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
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      },
      {
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 952.0,
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        "fair_value": 140.505352,
        "relative_strength": 13.214433,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 66.578623,
        "energy": 71.309126,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 208.149994,
        "volume": 783,
        "typical_volume": 968.7,
        "trend": 193.545199,
        "fair_value": 141.190876,
        "relative_strength": 12.517477,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.803012,
        "energy": 62.334992,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 203.419998,
        "volume": 2307,
        "typical_volume": 1038.5,
        "trend": 194.570349,
        "fair_value": 141.858492,
        "relative_strength": 7.71156,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 51.041569,
        "energy": 47.347009,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 211.710007,
        "volume": 2102,
        "typical_volume": 1050.75,
        "trend": 195.589186,
        "fair_value": 142.570875,
        "relative_strength": 8.996419,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 75.67844,
        "energy": 54.180197,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}