{ "ticker": { "uuid": "0f66806f-6ff5-4e4f-a8bf-80b0d96db08b", "symbol": "300563", "name": "Shenyu Communication Technology Inc.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -63.86, "architecture_energy": 65.905, "architecture_maturity": 61.911, "architecture_confidence": 84.907, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 9.78, "rotation_up": 12.19, "upward_expansion": 12.99, "deceleration": 42.47, "rotation_down": 70.15, "downward_expansion": 86.32 }, "activity_lines": [ 22.942667, 24.276545, 26.776564, 28.503045 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 24.18, "trend_reference": 31.155167, "distance_from_trend": -0.223885, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 31.722458, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.237764, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -32.6009, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.332908, "excess_performance": -0.340308, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.223885, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.105439, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.237764, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.333497, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.326009, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.056344, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.332908, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.483169, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 17541330, "relative_activity": 1.070356, "balance": 0.483169, "dry_up": 1.117752, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 6 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.146287, "annualized_volatility": 0.554847, "from_high_reference": -0.527336, "from_low_reference": 0.24575 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 31.155167, "fair_value_reference": 31.722458, "structural_low": 19.41, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 20, "median_return": 0.03525, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.010998, "regime_survival": 0.7, "best_return": 0.329788, "worst_return": -0.196403, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.08384, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.375, "median_excess_return": 0.018002, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 2.563286, "worst_return": -0.193001, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.024698, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.070711, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 3.242059, "worst_return": -0.246664, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"relative_strength": -38.303975, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -83.007469, "energy": 72.040458, "activity_lines": [ 25.234666, 26.723774, 28.745819, 30.345214 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 21.07, "volume": 18414995, "typical_volume": 17621810.0, "trend": 32.049105, "fair_value": 31.613021, "relative_strength": -40.539152, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -80.15996, "energy": 70.41154, "activity_lines": [ 23.568667, 25.46662, 27.891103, 29.605806 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 22.34, "volume": 16254866, "typical_volume": 17362343.1, "trend": 31.563688, "fair_value": 31.657053, "relative_strength": -35.223847, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.554319, "energy": 74.302371, "activity_lines": [ 22.869333, 24.628363, 27.220671, 28.979412 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 24.18, "volume": 17541330, "typical_volume": 16388312.45, "trend": 31.155167, "fair_value": 31.722458, "relative_strength": -32.6009, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.860041, "energy": 65.905013, "activity_lines": [ 22.942667, 24.276545, 26.776564, 28.503045 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }