{ "ticker": { "uuid": "0f6a7360-52c2-4b14-9628-cfa660c2c77a", "symbol": "KECL", "name": "Kirloskar Electric Company Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 82.148, "architecture_energy": 80.81, "architecture_maturity": 26.0, "architecture_confidence": 80.811, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 14.07, "rotation_up": 82.48, "upward_expansion": 95.25, "deceleration": 39.1, "rotation_down": 9.29, "downward_expansion": 17.25 }, "activity_lines": [ 133.11133, 124.91818, 120.491618, 114.695935 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 143.509995, "trend_reference": 106.468333, "distance_from_trend": 0.347912, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 136.816154, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.048926, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 32.73397, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.663305, "excess_performance": 0.707015, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.347912, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.045167, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.048926, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.134148, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.32734, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.181249, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.663305, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 4.388482, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2801998, "relative_activity": 2.059325, "balance": 4.388482, "dry_up": 1.072782, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.093137, "annualized_volatility": 0.635163, "from_high_reference": -0.074129, "from_low_reference": 0.90155 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 106.468333, "fair_value_reference": 136.816154, "structural_low": 77.099998, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 24, "median_return": -0.002292, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.008244, "regime_survival": 0.541667, "best_return": 0.3594, "worst_return": -0.19018, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": 0.208222, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.149541, "regime_survival": 0.833333, "best_return": 0.48622, "worst_return": -0.137389, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.424802, "positive_rate": 0.857143, "directional_follow_through": 0.857143, "median_excess_return": 0.341078, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 1.042384, "worst_return": -0.242373, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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115.190002, "volume": 331593, "typical_volume": 1356590.8, "trend": 102.313333, "fair_value": 136.50391, "relative_strength": 8.553426, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 46.050729, "energy": 24.164994, "activity_lines": [ 113.527333, 112.484727, 112.362334, 107.519398 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 119.110001, "volume": 610447, "typical_volume": 1352791.5, "trend": 102.977333, "fair_value": 136.502372, "relative_strength": 11.95983, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Re-acceleration watch", "gate": "up", "direction": 45.911112, "energy": 37.151875, "activity_lines": [ 116.397334, 113.466, 113.510572, 108.603054 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 124.849998, "volume": 684459, "typical_volume": 1346898.5, "trend": 103.822667, "fair_value": 136.543718, "relative_strength": 20.185066, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.76264, "energy": 61.861846, "activity_lines": [ 119.906666, 115.598727, 115.064238, 110.014194 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 137.789993, "volume": 1741774, "typical_volume": 1374925.95, "trend": 104.910333, "fair_value": 136.655833, "relative_strength": 28.929436, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 81.911607, "energy": 75.466921, "activity_lines": [ 126.376664, 119.903089, 117.645095, 112.205634 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 143.509995, "volume": 2801998, "typical_volume": 1360639.35, "trend": 106.468333, "fair_value": 136.816154, "relative_strength": 32.73397, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 82.148119, "energy": 80.809995, "activity_lines": [ 133.11133, 124.91818, 120.491618, 114.695935 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }