{ "ticker": { "uuid": "0f921907-eedb-45c0-82dd-e68e2e178635", "symbol": "OSRH", "name": "OSR Holdings Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -31.128, "architecture_energy": 25.498, "architecture_maturity": 68.099, "architecture_confidence": 78.855, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 43.65, "rotation_up": 34.73, "upward_expansion": 18.46, "deceleration": 45.49, "rotation_down": 25.14, "downward_expansion": 57.13 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.43588, 0.406356, 0.436947, 0.458398 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 0.443, "trend_reference": 0.496163, "distance_from_trend": -0.107149, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 5.843828, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.924194, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -30.232843, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.194545, "excess_performance": -0.381999, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.107149, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.139263, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.924194, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.009794, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.302328, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.06959, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.194545, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.369926, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1165240, "relative_activity": 0.054152, "balance": 0.369926, "dry_up": 0.167927, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.184963, "annualized_volatility": 0.908416, "from_high_reference": -0.642742, "from_low_reference": 0.476175 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.496163, "fair_value_reference": 5.843828, "structural_low": 0.3001, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": 0.003484, "positive_rate": 0.533333, "directional_follow_through": 0.466667, "median_excess_return": 0.002032, "regime_survival": 0.866667, "best_return": 0.491285, "worst_return": -0.524222, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.03708, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": -0.158639, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.057282, "worst_return": -0.611296, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.443677, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.504026, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": -0.063267, "worst_return": -0.824086, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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0.377616, 0.448164, 0.475636 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.4672, "volume": 8429940, "typical_volume": 21553715.65, "trend": 0.515213, "fair_value": 6.034232, "relative_strength": -26.813932, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.202048, "energy": 37.519962, "activity_lines": [ 0.37808, 0.3858, 0.447405, 0.472143 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.4228, "volume": 2565944, "typical_volume": 21543581.0, "trend": 0.508177, "fair_value": 5.970835, "relative_strength": -31.079561, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -43.261962, "energy": 26.639909, "activity_lines": [ 0.396213, 0.387789, 0.442155, 0.466181 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.448, "volume": 2292636, "typical_volume": 21533970.25, "trend": 0.503463, "fair_value": 5.907553, "relative_strength": -26.563186, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -37.802582, "energy": 20.956271, "activity_lines": [ 0.42068, 0.397036, 0.439737, 0.462299 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.443, "volume": 1165240, "typical_volume": 21517985.0, "trend": 0.496163, "fair_value": 5.843828, "relative_strength": -30.232843, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -31.127822, "energy": 25.497526, "activity_lines": [ 0.43588, 0.406356, 0.436947, 0.458398 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }