{ "ticker": { "uuid": "0fa0fdfe-73fa-4386-bf95-65c2b523b9e2", "symbol": "APOLSINHOT", "name": "Apollo Sindoori Hotels Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 23.256, "architecture_energy": 15.752, "architecture_maturity": 18.213, "architecture_confidence": 84.191, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 62.28, "rotation_up": 20.01, "upward_expansion": 50.5, "deceleration": 91.64, "rotation_down": 34.99, "downward_expansion": 21.17 }, "activity_lines": [ 1204.426644, 1227.765443, 1217.09476, 1200.490969 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 1209.199951, "trend_reference": 1199.778337, "distance_from_trend": 0.007853, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 1495.709736, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.191554, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -2.611818, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.023106, "excess_performance": 0.020604, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.007853, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.001717, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.191554, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.026903, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.026118, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.023323, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.023106, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 6.596672, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 5025, "relative_activity": 0.655877, "balance": 6.596672, "dry_up": 3.058311, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.081802, "annualized_volatility": 0.351564, "from_high_reference": -0.187956, "from_low_reference": 0.272842 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1199.778337, "fair_value_reference": 1495.709736, "structural_low": 950.0, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": -0.015045, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.017786, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.21638, "worst_return": -0.110833, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.050394, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.054892, "regime_survival": 0.142857, "best_return": 0.31001, "worst_return": -0.256677, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.062685, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.07263, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 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"2026-07-17", "close": 1245.599976, "volume": 75636, "typical_volume": 7640.3, "trend": 1203.331669, "fair_value": 1498.429617, "relative_strength": 0.480369, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 10.617505, "energy": 9.052594, "activity_lines": [ 1247.693327, 1255.889091, 1211.362148, 1202.068285 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1173.0, "volume": 8465, "typical_volume": 7876.75, "trend": 1201.458337, "fair_value": 1497.400079, "relative_strength": -2.816747, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -5.423817, "energy": 12.232782, "activity_lines": [ 1215.433325, 1243.796362, 1211.249528, 1200.111403 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1200.0, "volume": 4599, "typical_volume": 7786.65, "trend": 1201.858337, "fair_value": 1496.40922, "relative_strength": -2.793626, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -3.312582, "energy": 11.373599, "activity_lines": [ 1205.866659, 1235.572725, 1213.886432, 1200.017316 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1209.199951, "volume": 5025, "typical_volume": 7661.5, "trend": 1199.778337, "fair_value": 1495.709736, "relative_strength": -2.611818, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 23.256385, "energy": 15.75209, "activity_lines": [ 1204.426644, 1227.765443, 1217.09476, 1200.490969 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }