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Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 85.427, "architecture_energy": 66.411, "architecture_maturity": 22.983, "architecture_confidence": 85.724, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 20.42, "rotation_up": 64.49, "upward_expansion": 81.09, "deceleration": 59.53, "rotation_down": 19.78, "downward_expansion": 10.09 }, "activity_lines": [ 107.338668, 104.690476, 101.49176, 95.987529 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 114.860001, "trend_reference": 89.532397, "distance_from_trend": 0.282888, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 70.832876, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.621563, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 39.382791, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.376339, "excess_performance": 0.433388, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.282888, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.142722, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.621563, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.243717, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.393828, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.243268, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.376339, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.264329, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 80, "relative_activity": 0.052167, "balance": 2.264329, "dry_up": 0.153076, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.05344, "annualized_volatility": 0.403477, "from_high_reference": 0.0, "from_low_reference": 0.953827 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 89.532397, "fair_value_reference": 70.832876, "structural_low": 67.860023, 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"modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 45.541244, "energy": 38.497454, "activity_lines": [ 100.027368, 101.726382, 95.838426, 90.974473 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 99.300003, "volume": 16, "typical_volume": 1745.25, "trend": 86.252939, "fair_value": 70.013385, "relative_strength": 21.720492, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 41.314788, "energy": 31.000005, "activity_lines": [ 98.985995, 101.428223, 96.800154, 91.873748 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 102.220001, "volume": 10, "typical_volume": 1708.3, "trend": 87.10991, "fair_value": 70.252956, "relative_strength": 24.627318, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 42.399649, "energy": 30.921469, "activity_lines": [ 99.758076, 101.542287, 97.920145, 92.903881 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 108.230003, "volume": 833, "typical_volume": 1581.65, "trend": 88.183551, "fair_value": 70.520138, "relative_strength": 28.356684, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.60343, "energy": 47.247933, "activity_lines": [ 102.516002, 102.649187, 99.47612, 94.266468 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 114.860001, "volume": 80, "typical_volume": 1533.55, "trend": 89.532397, "fair_value": 70.832876, "relative_strength": 39.382791, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 85.426911, "energy": 66.411488, "activity_lines": [ 107.338668, 104.690476, 101.49176, 95.987529 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }