{ "ticker": { "uuid": "0fb60ac1-9015-414e-b352-6537b75d56f6", "symbol": "USCI", "name": "UNITED STS COMMODITY INDEX FD COMMODITY INDEX FD", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 85.817, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 61.579, "architecture_energy": 74.342, "architecture_maturity": 9.544, "architecture_confidence": 69.378, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 20.17, "rotation_up": 75.13, "upward_expansion": 89.74, "deceleration": 45.24, "rotation_down": 10.95, "downward_expansion": 18.74 }, "activity_lines": [ 100.357013, 98.042504, 97.54597, 96.27646 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 99.8949, "trend_reference": 93.42062, "distance_from_trend": 0.069302, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 71.439424, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.398316, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 2.965056, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.226909, "excess_performance": 0.101284, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.069302, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.07068, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.398316, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.058553, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.029651, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.062147, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.226909, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.381252, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 83190, "relative_activity": 0.792055, "balance": 0.381252, "dry_up": 0.538622, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.029848, "annualized_volatility": 0.161805, "from_high_reference": -0.03343, "from_low_reference": 0.352856 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 93.42062, "fair_value_reference": 71.439424, "structural_low": 79.508, "invalidation": 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"gate": "up", "direction": 6.653202, "energy": 21.917612, "activity_lines": [ 93.6169, 94.889836, 95.836289, 93.909377 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 99.89, "volume": 43136, "typical_volume": 113483.6, "trend": 91.124783, "fair_value": 70.618499, "relative_strength": 7.894266, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 50.408069, "energy": 24.078495, "activity_lines": [ 95.729333, 95.556682, 96.275773, 94.522369 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 102.0101, "volume": 45710, "typical_volume": 111267.0, "trend": 91.913453, "fair_value": 70.896897, "relative_strength": 10.510275, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.1808, "energy": 56.151064, "activity_lines": [ 98.231367, 96.592455, 96.848076, 95.224648 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 101.0201, "volume": 54251, "typical_volume": 107694.3, "trend": 92.698457, "fair_value": 71.170646, "relative_strength": 7.978796, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.961041, "energy": 71.181438, "activity_lines": [ 99.794727, 97.433135, 97.271045, 95.812174 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 99.8949, "volume": 83190, "typical_volume": 105030.55, "trend": 93.42062, "fair_value": 71.439424, "relative_strength": 2.965056, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.578672, "energy": 74.341783, "activity_lines": [ 100.357013, 98.042504, 97.54597, 96.27646 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }