{ "ticker": { "uuid": "0fb94d46-e663-4663-ba82-84f2e5416ff8", "symbol": "SARN", "name": "Sarine Technologies Ltd.", "exchange": "TLV", "country": "IL", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "TA35.TA", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -57.818, "architecture_energy": 34.248, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 68.623, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 36.05, "rotation_up": 25.95, "upward_expansion": 8.51, "deceleration": 60.91, "rotation_down": 39.12, "downward_expansion": 68.18 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.4178, 0.418109, 0.42941, 0.446787 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 0.406, "trend_reference": 0.472467, "distance_from_trend": -0.14068, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.65039, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.375759, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -34.412645, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.2147, "excess_performance": -0.2436, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.14068, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.138149, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.375759, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -1.6e-05, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.344126, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.0885, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.2147, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.033311, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 81286, "relative_activity": 1.715504, "balance": 1.033311, "dry_up": 0.87767, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.097006, "annualized_volatility": 0.196344, "from_high_reference": -0.504274, "from_low_reference": 0.150142 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.472467, "fair_value_reference": 0.65039, "structural_low": 0.353, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 29, "median_return": -0.013514, "positive_rate": 0.37931, "directional_follow_through": 0.62069, "median_excess_return": -0.013933, "regime_survival": 0.896552, "best_return": 0.262082, "worst_return": -0.145855, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.083051, "positive_rate": 0.222222, "directional_follow_through": 0.777778, "median_excess_return": -0.177458, "regime_survival": 0.888889, "best_return": 0.249538, "worst_return": -0.18842, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.0865, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.214299, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.145763, "worst_return": -0.281649, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"volume": 13110, "typical_volume": 44084.4, "trend": 0.4815, "fair_value": 0.658795, "relative_strength": -35.222891, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.74333, "energy": 46.881428, "activity_lines": [ 0.416267, 0.419109, 0.435471, 0.454396 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.435, "volume": 68514, "typical_volume": 45210.5, "trend": 0.477433, "fair_value": 0.654342, "relative_strength": -30.165622, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -43.352112, "energy": 32.04282, "activity_lines": [ 0.422667, 0.421182, 0.433605, 0.451396 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.406, "volume": 81286, "typical_volume": 47383.15, "trend": 0.472467, "fair_value": 0.65039, "relative_strength": -34.412645, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.818191, "energy": 34.248411, "activity_lines": [ 0.4178, 0.418109, 0.42941, 0.446787 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }