{ "ticker": { "uuid": "0fe06798-c698-48b7-848f-10f34d6cf094", "symbol": "GLOBALE", "name": "Globale Tessile Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -32.517, "architecture_energy": 52.491, "architecture_maturity": 14.723, "architecture_confidence": 79.728, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 21.5, "rotation_up": 16.0, "upward_expansion": 25.68, "deceleration": 49.77, "rotation_down": 70.14, "downward_expansion": 57.68 }, "activity_lines": [ 10.837333, 11.261818, 11.883524, 11.877634 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 10.53, "trend_reference": 11.818667, "distance_from_trend": -0.109037, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 18.430784, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.428673, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -13.553906, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.07874, "excess_performance": -0.035031, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.109037, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.015385, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.428673, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.150779, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.135539, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.243864, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.07874, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.237695, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 8738, "relative_activity": 0.26557, "balance": 0.237695, "dry_up": 0.513725, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.108335, "annualized_volatility": 0.387817, "from_high_reference": -0.316234, "from_low_reference": 0.144565 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 11.818667, "fair_value_reference": 18.430784, "structural_low": 9.2, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-03-06", "end": "2026-03-13", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.037443, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-03-20", "end": "2026-04-17", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.235627, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-04-24", "end": "2026-05-01", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.012057, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-05-08", "end": "2026-05-22", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.142857, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-05-29", "end": "2026-07-17", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.137931, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-07-24", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.033945, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2024-08-30", "close": 63.040001, "volume": 26344, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-09-06", "close": 48.75, "volume": 11828, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-09-13", "close": 37.57, "volume": 255405, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, 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-20.70916, "energy": 16.843545, "activity_lines": [ 11.838667, 12.165091, 12.336524, 12.148387 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 11.25, "volume": 21615, "typical_volume": 35045.55, "trend": 11.967333, "fair_value": 18.662828, "relative_strength": -7.848621, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -21.229964, "energy": 27.789563, "activity_lines": [ 11.594667, 11.940364, 12.25719, 12.1 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 10.9, "volume": 16644, "typical_volume": 34985.25, "trend": 11.923667, "fair_value": 18.5852, "relative_strength": -8.327284, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -28.030151, "energy": 45.695438, "activity_lines": [ 11.283333, 11.702, 12.145095, 12.03114 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 10.89, "volume": 20615, "typical_volume": 34778.7, "trend": 11.875667, "fair_value": 18.50901, "relative_strength": -10.427353, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -27.32009, "energy": 50.691459, "activity_lines": [ 11.066667, 11.504545, 12.032286, 11.964452 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 10.53, "volume": 8738, "typical_volume": 32902.8, "trend": 11.818667, "fair_value": 18.430784, "relative_strength": -13.553906, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -32.51698, "energy": 52.490506, "activity_lines": [ 10.837333, 11.261818, 11.883524, 11.877634 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }