{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "0fec6a42-c736-4a13-8f92-cb3060b9bb96",
    "symbol": "QVAL",
    "name": "ALPHA ARCHITECT U.S. QUANTITATIVE VALUE ETF",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 89.696,
    "architecture_energy": 90.091,
    "architecture_maturity": 40.961,
    "architecture_confidence": 76.344,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 1.56,
        "rotation_up": 84.45,
        "upward_expansion": 98.16,
        "deceleration": 39.41,
        "rotation_down": 10.71,
        "downward_expansion": 20.16
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        55.440455
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 60.3292,
    "trend_reference": 54.252357,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.112011,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 44.588362,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.353026,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 3.548891,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.125212,
    "excess_performance": -0.062241,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.112011,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.056405,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.353026,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.081403,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.035489,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.091638,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.125212,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 3.454706,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
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      "relative_activity": 0.833411,
      "balance": 3.454706,
      "dry_up": 0.956531,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.025992,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.135105,
      "from_high_reference": -0.001503,
      "from_low_reference": 0.423803
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    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 54.252357,
      "fair_value_reference": 44.588362,
      "structural_low": 50.163272,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 35,
        "median_return": 0.013805,
        "positive_rate": 0.685714,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.685714,
        "median_excess_return": 0.011196,
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        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "worst_return": -0.065202,
        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-04-24",
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 127296.8,
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        "fair_value": 44.133444,
        "relative_strength": 2.540794,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 72.429869,
        "energy": 60.674832,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 57.5749,
        "volume": 96492,
        "typical_volume": 125151.35,
        "trend": 53.623237,
        "fair_value": 44.279412,
        "relative_strength": 4.878364,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 73.687089,
        "energy": 68.129388,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 58.4712,
        "volume": 139772,
        "typical_volume": 125911.45,
        "trend": 53.937561,
        "fair_value": 44.429621,
        "relative_strength": 5.706773,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 80.09006,
        "energy": 76.474941,
        "activity_lines": [
          57.552367,
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          55.90329,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 60.3292,
        "volume": 103181,
        "typical_volume": 123805.65,
        "trend": 54.252357,
        "fair_value": 44.588362,
        "relative_strength": 3.548891,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 89.695693,
        "energy": 90.091179,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}